The name is absent

96

Figure 4.3: Scenarios Sl through S4. Panels (a) through (d) summarize simulation
under scenarios Sl through S4. Comparison of the estimated success rates under
the NEPPM (star “*”) vs. the HLRM (circle “o”). The horizontal axis shows the
n = 12 true success rates under the assumed scenario. The upper, medium and lower
panels show absolute value of the bias, mean square error and coverage probability of
the central 95% credible interval, respectively. All are arranged by subtype. Under
Sl (panel (a)), from left to right, the first three success rates correspond to poor
prognosis {x_l — —1), the following six to intermediate (rr_j = 0) and the last three to
good prognosis (x_i = 1). The point sizes are proportional to the sample size N_l.