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93


0.12

0.10

0.08

ω
го

СО 0.06

0.04

0.02

0.00

0.035

0.030

0.025

φ0.020

0.015

0.010

0.005



Simulation true success rates

Figure 4.1: Comparison of the estimated success rates under the four models under
SO. The horizontal axis shows the
n = 12 success rates under the simulation truth
S0. The upper panel shows the absolute bias. The lower panel shows mean squared
error. Both are arranged by true
pi. The five lines and labels correspond to the
models NEPPM with 7 = 1 [1], NEPPM with 7 = 1/2 [2], parametric Hierarchical
[3], HLRM [4] and separate [5] models.



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