Effort and Performance in Public-Policy Contests



own-stake (“income”) effect, when i=j. The former effect is ambiguous, depending
on the sign of the cross-partial derivative of the contest success function. The latter
effect is clear-cut, due to our assumption that the marginal winning probability of a
contestant is declining in his own effort.

In case (ii) with i=H and case (iii) with i=L,

*

xH   1(


2 PrL


I B


I   ∂Xl 2


Ï
η
h nL

J


and


x * L
I


BI x j ∂x„

LH


ηn

HL


In cases (iii) with i=H and case (ii) with i=L,

I


P-

√'x H dx L


ηn

LH


and


I


2 PrH

2HηL
xH


λ

nH

J


We therefore obtain

Proposition 1:

In case (ii) with i=H and case (iii) with i=L,

x *


L          2 Pr

l- )=Sign ( —--L-ηH ).

x x

LH


x *

Sigπ(      )Sigπ (ηh ) and Sign(

I

In cases (iii) with i=H and case (ii) with i=L,

*     *2

Sign(      )Sign (ηL ) and Sign(--^)=Sign (     ” ηL ).

I                      I         x x

HL

Proposition 1 directly yields the following general comparative statics result that
focuses on the sensitivity of a contestant’s effort to a change in his or his rival’s stake:

H 1 1   ∂ x * H

Corollary 1.1: -----

dnH

> 0,

∂ x * L
nL

> 0,

x *H

Sign (—--

nL

2 P-

) = Sign ( —ʒɪ )

x x

HL

and

Sign(

∂ x * L )

2 Pr

= Sign ( —-L- ).

nH          xL xH

By this first corollary, under our general contest success function, the effort exerted
by a contestant is positively related to his stake. That is, the strategic own-stake
(“income”) effect is always positive (effort of every player is a “normal good”). In
contrast, the effort exerted by a player can be positively or negatively related to the
stake of his rival. It can also be independent of the rival’s stake. When the marginal

12



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