Unemployment in an Interdependent World



24

22

20

18

16

14

12

10

8

6
0.8

Country 1, Unemployment

0.4        0

τ (%)


Country 2, Unemployment

8

7.8

7.6

7.4

7.2

7

6.8

6.6

0.8

60

0.4        0

τ (%)

b1


Figure 2: Country 1 labor market regulation and unemployment in countries 1 and 2
(=3). [Rate of unemployment on the vertical axis.]

constant returns to scale, and, most importantly, frictionless labor markets. The second
sector has heterogeneous firms, monopolistic competition, search frictions, and trade costs.
When trade costs fall, the second sector becomes more competitive, and workers leave
the no-unemployment num´eraire sector to fuel the expansion of the other sector. This
tends to result in higher aggregate unemployment. This result crucially depends on the
existence of the num´eraire sector. There is a second important difference relative to our
model: In most of their analysis, Helpman, Itskhoki, and Redding assume that preferences
are quasilinear such that all changes in income are absorbed by the homogeneous good.
This means that additional income due to gains from trade does not create additional
demand in the unemployment-ridden second sector and can, therefore, not compensate
the increase in unemployment.

Result 1b [Labor market reform]

If one country increases its unemployment benefits, then unemployment increases in that
country.

An increase of b1 from 0.4 to 0.8 (at the benchmark value of τ = 30%) drives up the rate
of unemployment from about 7% to about 20%. This result is in line with closed economy
search-and-matching models and with empirical evidence.
23 We will study in detail below
how the geographical location of the country with the deteriorating institutions conditions
the unemployment effect. Figure 2, however, already clearly suggests that the gradient of
u
1 with respect to b1 is smaller if country 1 is more open to international trade.

Result 1c [Institutional spill-overs]

If one country increases its unemployment benefits, then, in all other countries, unem-
ployment rises. While this qualitative pattern is very robust, the size of the spill-over

23 See Bassanini and Duval (2006).

20



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