Unemployment in an Interdependent World



Table 2: The role of foreign labor market distortions

Dep.var.: level of unemployment rate

(1)        (2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

(7)

(8)

b

0.081a 0.075a

0.103a

0.086a

0.081a

0.083a

0.072a

0.077a

(0.017)   (0.017)

(0.019)

(0.019)

(0.020)

(0.020)

(0.016)

(0.019)

b*

0.009a   0.012a

0.004

0.009b

0.027

0.057

0.013a

0.013a

(0.003)   (0.003)

(0.003)

(0.003)

(0.042)

(0.037)

(0.003)

(0.004)

b* × k*/k

0.016a

0.011a

(0.004)

(0.003)

k*/k

-1.216a

-1.219a

(0.274)

(0.263)

PMR

0.706a

0.856a

0.894a

0.847a

0.743a

0.899a

(0.193)

(0.207)

(0.219)

(0.217)

(0.188)

(0.209)

Union density

0.008

-0.005

-0.013

-0.009

(0.024)

(0.023)

(0.023)

(0.026)

Union density*

0.062

(0.038)

High corporatism

-1.545a

-1.617a

-1.603a

-1.655a

-1.558a

(0.415)

(0.420)

(0.445)

(0.393)

(0.407)

High corporatism*

2.270

1.371

(2.001)

(1.916)

EPL

0.234

-0.418

-0.574

-0.448

-0.500

(0.343)

(0.371)

(0.380)

(0.383)

(0.382)

EPL*

-2.465a

-1.904b

(0.828)

(0.837)

gap

-0.613a   -0.608a

-0.622a

-0.622a

-0.627a

-0.619a

-0.635a

-0.642a

(0.044)   (0.042)

(0.045)

(0.044)

(0.045)

(0.040)

(0.039)

(0.042)

gap*

-0.021    -0.014

-0.034

-0.024

-0.042

-0.107

0.032

0.005

(0.070)   (0.073)

(0.070)

(0.072)

(0.077)

(0.074)

(0.073)

(0.072)

RMSE

1.191    1.169

1.158

1.130

1.123

1.123

1.134

1.098

adj. R2

0.923    0.926

0.927

0.931

0.932

0.932

0.930

0.935

F

139.5    154.2

136.8

146.8

147.8

151.1

133.3

129.0

Robust standard errors in parentheses,ap < 0.01,bp < 0.05,cp < 0.1. Number of observations:
397 in all models. All regressions contain a full set of country fixed-effects, year dummies, and an
array of orthogonal shocks (TFP, terms of trade, real interest rate, and labor demand shocks) as
additional controls for business cycle comovements. Trade-weighted averages for foreign variables
(denoted by asterisks) are computed using α
1 = α2 = 1, and δ = 1.

38



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