
Figure 4: Histogram of natteamit for players from Euro 2008 nations in season 07/08, condi-
tional on natteamit> 0. The sample excludes goalkeepers, and players of Austrians or Swiss
nationality. TThe number of players is 56, and the number of player-gameday observations 1478.
Of course, several of these theories may matter at the same time; for instance, a player with
an intermediate nomination chan ce may increase training; intensity with two objectives in
mind: improving his nomination chance, and, conditional on being nominated, performing
well in the Cup.
To discriminate between these different theories, we estimate the following differences-
in-differences-in-differences regression equation:
Yi∏t αt + γi + SoquaIifiednt
+ δ1qualifiedntnatteamit + δ2qualifiedntnatteamit (1 — natteamit)
+ ηιnatteamit + η2natteamit (1 — natteamit)
(9)
+ ριeurθnnai^teamit + ρ2eurQnnatteamn (1 - natteamit)
4- π1aftertnatteamit + π2aftertnatteamit (1 — natteamit)
+ xintβ + εint.
All three theories predict that δ0, the effect on players from Euro 2008 nations who have
no realistic chance of being nominated, should be zero. The nomination contest theory
moreover predicts a positive coefficient δ2. The ‘training theory’ predicts a positive δ1,
24
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