Climate change, mitigation and adaptation: the case of the Murray–Darling Basin in Australia

Wet, Dry and Medium variants for each emission trajectory. In this study, we
have considered the implications of Medium projections for two emissions
trajectories.

This first is the Medium projection for the adaptation only trajectory, in which
mean global temperature increases by about 4.5°C in 2100. The second is the
Medium projection for the ‘mitigation’ trajectory, which involves stabilization of
atmospheric concentrations at 450 ppm CO2 equivalents with the result that
global temperature increases by about 1.5°C in 2100.

These projections were coupled with the results of modelling by Jones et al.
(2007) to derive inflow projections for the Basin at a catchment level for the
period from 2010 to 2100. Projections for 2050 and 2100 are presented in Table
1.

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