Proceedings from the ECFIN Workshop "The budgetary implications of structural reforms" - Brussels, 2 December 2005



Table 9: Budget balances, labour market reforms (reform dummies defined as policies reducing the
restrictiveness of EPL or the generosity of unemployment subsidies. EU-14 except EL, 1986-2001)

Dependent variable:
primary CAB
Explanatory variables

(1)

(2)

Constant

-2.6***

-2.48***

(-5.11)

(-4.83)

Lagged dependent

0.73***

0.76***

variable

(18.76)

(23.71)

Output gap

-0.014

0.034

(-0.32)

(0.08)

Lagged debt/GDP ratio

0.049***

0.046***

(6.24)

(5.64)

Dummy for labour

-0.27

market reforms based on
EPL restrictiveness
reduction
Dummy for labour

(-1.36)

0.036

market reforms based on
reductions in the
generosity of
unemployment subsidies

(0.19)

N. obs.

238

238

R sq.

0.70

0.70

Chi sq

1174

1164

Notes: Estimations method: fixed effects, instrumental variables
regression. The output gap is instrumented with its own lag and the US
lagged output gap. All fiscal variables are expressed as shares on
potential output.

Z statistics are reported in parentheses. *, **, and *** denote,
respectively, significance at the 10, 5 and 1 per cent level.
Coefficients for country fixed effects are not reported.

Source: Authors’ calculation on FRDB data and DG ECFIN AMECO
database.

127



More intriguing information

1. Sectoral specialisation in the EU a macroeconomic perspective
2. Developments and Development Directions of Electronic Trade Platforms in US and European Agri-Food Markets: Impact on Sector Organization
3. Midwest prospects and the new economy
4. The name is absent
5. Gianluigi Zenti, President, Academia Barilla SpA - The Changing Consumer: Demanding but Predictable
6. The name is absent
7. The open method of co-ordination: Some remarks regarding old-age security within an enlarged European Union
8. The name is absent
9. ADJUSTMENT TO GLOBALISATION: A STUDY OF THE FOOTWEAR INDUSTRY IN EUROPE
10. Ultrametric Distance in Syntax
11. The ultimate determinants of central bank independence
12. Long-Term Capital Movements
13. EXPANDING HIGHER EDUCATION IN THE U.K: FROM ‘SYSTEM SLOWDOWN’ TO ‘SYSTEM ACCELERATION’
14. The migration of unskilled youth: Is there any wage gain?
15. The name is absent
16. Structural Conservation Practices in U.S. Corn Production: Evidence on Environmental Stewardship by Program Participants and Non-Participants
17. The Impact of Minimum Wages on Wage Inequality and Employment in the Formal and Informal Sector in Costa Rica
18. Sector Switching: An Unexplored Dimension of Firm Dynamics in Developing Countries
19. The name is absent
20. The Mathematical Components of Engineering