New Evidence on the Puzzles. Results from Agnostic Identification on Monetary Policy and Exchange Rates.



6.2 Specifications

The following VAR specifications have been used:

EE (Eichenbaum-Evans): y, y*, p, nbrx, i, i*, s

GR (Grilli-Roubini): y, y*, p, p*, i, i*, y

BIG (big VAR specification:) y, y* , p, p* , m, m* , nbrx, i, i* , r, r* , s

6.3 Identifications in the Literature

The following is a short description of some of the identifications used in the
literature

Eichenbaum-Evans: Eichenbaum and Evans assume the recursive ordering
[y, p, y
* , i* , nbrx, i, s]. A US monetary policy contraction is identified
with a fall in nbrx.

Grilli-Roubini: Grilli and Roubini assume a recursive ordering [y* , p* , y, p, i, i* , s].
A foreign monetary policy contraction is identified with a rise in the
foreign short term interest rate.

Faust-Rogers: Faust and Rogers consider the EE specification and analyze
the impact of a monetary innovation. Two sets of restrictions are as-
sumed. The first set consists of money restrictions: on impact p, y, y
* ,
nbrx, s are larger than or equal to zero and i and i
* are less than or
equal to zero; p at horizon 80 is not larger than at horizon 36; y
* is
no more than one-half of that of y on impact and the decline in i
* is
not larger than one-half of the decline in i on impact. The second set
consists of shape restrictions on the exchange rate: the exchange rate
responses falls between lags 1-2, 2-3, 3-4, 4-6, 6-12, 12-18, 18-36, 18-80.

31



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