AGRICULTURAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION UNDER NAFTA: REPORTING ON THE REPORT CARD



Fairchild and Aubin

351

Table 2: Extent to Which NAFTA Has Generally Benefitted Agriculture
in Other Countries-Percent Response for Each Report Card
__________
by Country and Total._____________________________________

Country
Report Card
Response

Canada

^st 2nd
%

United States

∙jst 2πd

%______

Mexico
^st 2nd
%

Total

^st 2nd

%________

Large Benefit

53 20

30 56

75 33

44 38

Small Benefit

47 80

60 38

25 67

51 59

No Change

— —

5 —

— —

2 —

Small Deficit

— —

— —

— —

— —

Large Deficit

— —

— —

— —

— —

Don’t Know

— —

5 6_________

— —

2 3_____________

Source: Compiled from response data.

The learning which apparently took place during the workshop was
both substantial and contradictory, based on a comparison between responses
to the first and second report card. While the all-country average response
remained relatively stable, respondents from both Canada and Mexico tended
to shift from a majority belief that other countries had received a large benefit
from NAFTA, 53 percent and 75 percent, respectively, to a position in which a
majority believed that only a small benefit had been received by others, 80
percent and 67 percent, respectively.

Responses from U.S. participants shifted in the opposite direction be-
tween the first and second report cards. The percent of Americans believing
others received a large benefit increased from an initial 30 percent to 56 per-
cent in the second report card, while the percent believing NAFTA to have been
a small benefit to others declined from 60 percent to 38 percent. Overall, the
percent of all respondents believing the agriculture in other counties received a
large benefit declined slightly form 44 percent to 38 percent from the first to
the second report card, while those thinking it had a small benefit to others
increased form 51 percent to 59 percent. Again, small overall changes tend to
mask significant changes within countries.

Benefit to the Primary Agricultural Sector of Own Country

Workshop participants were asked whether or not NAFTA had ben-
efitted the primary agriculture sector of their country. As illustrated in Table 3,
based on the all-country average, the majority (66 percent) initially believed



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