A NEW PERSPECTIVE ON UNDERINVESTMENT IN AGRICULTURAL R&D



have a blind spot for failed R&D projects, it may also be biased toward the extreme success cases.

Very successful R&D projects just have a higher chance of being selected for an ex post evaluation.

Number of R&Dprojects                                Number of R&Dprojects

Figure 4: Ranked distribution of ex post rate-of-return results

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