Table 14 - Random effects ordered Probit
________Moo |
idy’s_______________ |
S&P__________ |
Fitch________________ | |||
(1) |
(2) |
(3) |
(4) |
(5) |
(6) | |
GDP per capita |
3.422*** |
3.349*** |
3.246*** |
2.686*** |
4.087*** |
4.160*** |
(9.40) |
(9.14) |
(9.02) |
(8.12) |
(12.15) |
(13.12) | |
GDP per capita Avg. |
0.478*** |
0.562*** |
1.117*** |
0.614*** |
1.132*** |
0.913*** |
(2.75) |
(3.84) |
(6.03) |
(3.94) |
(7.81) |
(5.45) | |
GDP growth |
6.464** |
7.852** |
5.979* |
7.729*** |
-5.119* | |
(2.06) |
(2.30) |
(1.93) |
(2.60) |
(-1.73) | ||
GDP growth Avg. |
-9.387** |
-8.43* |
-6.083 | |||
(-2.04) |
(-1.79) |
(-1.31) | ||||
Unemployment |
0.016 |
0.152*** |
0.135*** |
0.012 | ||
(0.50) |
(4.57) |
(3.01) |
(0.36) | |||
Unemployment Avg. |
-0.078*** |
-0.085*** |
0.002 |
-0.073*** |
-0.033** | |
(-4.40) |
(-5.18) |
(0.10) |
(-4.40) |
(-2.09) | ||
Inflation |
-0.199 |
-0.214 |
-0.353** |
-0.418*** |
-0.273** |
-0.245* |
(-1.41) |
(-1.51) |
(-2.53) |
(-2.93) |
(-1.96) |
(-1.79) | |
Inflation Avg. |
-0.623*** |
-0.939*** |
-0.532*** |
-0.949*** |
-0.713*** |
-0.272* |
(-4.01) |
(-6.11) |
(-3.41) |
(-6.08) |
(-4.62) |
(-1.84) | |
Gov Debt |
-0.03*** |
-0.032*** |
-0.085*** |
-0.088*** |
-0.043*** |
-0.051*** |
(-4.61) |
(-4.94) |
(-11.90) |
(-12.41) |
(-7.24) |
(-9.07) | |
Gov Debt Avg. |
-0.026*** |
-0.028*** |
-0.027*** |
-0.031*** |
0.001 | |
(-6.99) |
(-8.80) |
(-8.77) |
(-10.47) |
(0.26) | ||
Gov Balance |
13.898*** |
10.937*** |
10.187*** |
11.559*** |
9.487*** | |
(3.74) |
(2.77) |
(3.07) |
(3.32) |
(3.00) | ||
Gov Balance Avg. |
6.757* |
8.873** |
22.304*** |
21.812*** | ||
(1.84) |
(2.40) |
(6.18) |
(5.83) | |||
Gov Effectiveness |
0.223 |
0.707** |
0.794** |
1.761*** |
1.838*** | |
(0.64) |
(2.08) |
(2.42) |
(4.86) |
(5.17) | ||
Gov Effectiveness Avg. |
3.679*** |
3.547*** |
4.606*** |
3.752*** |
2.722*** |
3.104*** |
(13.46) |
(15.44) |
(16.30) |
(15.62) |
(11.37) |
(12.28) | |
External Debt |
-0.004** |
-0.002** |
-0.002 | |||
(-2.29) |
(-2.21) |
(-0.79) | ||||
External Debt Avg. |
-0.004*** |
-0.008*** |
-0.014*** | |||
(-3.11) |
(-6.40) |
(-10.39) | ||||
Current Account |
-8.57*** |
-12.863*** |
-4.899** |
2.772 | ||
(-3.62) |
(-5.94) |
(-2.04) |
(1.23) | |||
Current Account Avg. |
5.24** |
3.723* |
18.39*** |
5.769** |
18.993*** |
26.980*** |
(2.21) |
(1.73) |
(7.21) |
(2.54) |
(7.89) |
(11.27) | |
Reserves |
2.246*** |
2.952*** |
0.205 |
-0.549 | ||
(4.37) |
(5.82) |
(0.42) |
(-1.14) | |||
Reserves Avg. |
0.416 |
3.365*** |
2.520*** |
0.876* | ||
(0.88) |
(6.94) |
(5.57) |
(1.83) | |||
Def 1 |
-3.101*** |
-2.936*** |
-1.789*** |
-2.077*** |
-2.176*** |
-1.266*** |
(-12.18) |
(-11.95) |
(-8.05) |
(-9.25) |
(-9.33) |
(-6.03) | |
EU |
2.197*** |
2.237*** |
0.324 |
0.336 | ||
(9.04) |
(8.90) |
(1.55) |
(1.57) | |||
IND |
3.554*** |
3.626*** |
3.923*** |
5.848*** |
4.982*** |
6.163*** |
(7.71) |
(9.08) |
(8.18) |
(11.38) |
(13.24) |
(15.54) | |
LAC |
-1.766*** |
-1.711*** |
-1.485*** |
-0.901*** |
-2.570*** |
-3.165*** |
(-7.08) |
(-8.86) |
(-6.38) |
(-4.34) |
(-11.08) |
(-13.78) |
47