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Appendix 1 - Data sources

_________Variable_______	____________________Description__________________	Source	____Codename
Per Capita GDP	Per capita nominal GDP in US dollars (logs)	IMF (WEO)	NGDPDPC
GDP Growth	Annual growth rate of real GDP	IMF (WEO)	NGDP_R
Unemployment Rate	Unemployment Rate	IMF (WEO)	LUR
Inflation	Annual growth rate of Consumer Price Index	IMF (WEO)	PCPI
Government Debt	Central Government Debt over GDP	Jaimovich, Panizza (2006)
Government balance	General government balance as percentage of GDP	IMF (WEO)	GGB, NGDP
Government Effectiveness Aggregate Governance Indicators 1996-2006		WB(AGI)
External Debt	Total debt as share of exports of goods and services	WB (GDF)
Current Account	Current account balance as percentage of GDP	IMF (WEO)	BCA, NGDPD
Reserves	Reserves to Imports ratio	IMF (WEO, IFS)	BM, .0.01.D$S.Z.F.$$$
DEF 1	Dummy: 1 if country has defaulted since 1980	S&P
DEF 2	Years since last default	S&P
EU	Dummy: 1 If country belongs to European Union
IND	Dummy: 1 if Industrial Countries	WB
LAC________________	Dummy: 1 if Latin America and Caribbean__________	WB_______
Other variables used_____________________________________________________________________________________
Investment	Gross capital formation as percentage of GDP	IMF (WEO)	NI_R, NGDP_R
OIL balance	Oil trade balance as percentage of GDP	IMF (WEO)	TBO, NGDPD
Government Expenditure	General government total expenditure as percentage of GDP	IMF (WEO)	GGEI, NGDP
Government Interest Expenditure Government Revenue	General government interest expenditure as percentage of GDP General government total revenue as percentage of	IMF (WEO)	GGRG, NGDP
Government Interest Expenditure Government Revenue	GDP	IMF (WEO)	GGENL, NGDP
Trade openness	Total Exports plus total Imports as percentage of GDP	IMF (WEO)	BM, BX NGDPD
Exports Growth	Annual growth rate of real exports	IMF (WEO)	NX_R
Domestic Credit Growth	Annual growth rate of Domestic credit	IMF (IFS)	.3.12.$$$.Z.F.$$$
Interest over Exports	Interest paid as percentage of total exports of goods and services	WB (GDF)
Reserves over total debt	Reserves as percentage of total debt	WB (GDF)
Short-term debt	Short-term debt as percentage of total debt	WB (GDF)
Total debt	Total debt as share of gross national income	WB (GDF)
Voice and Accountability	Aggregate Governance Indicators 1996-2004	WB(AGI)
Political Stability	Aggregate Governance Indicators 1996-2005	WB(AGI)
Regulatory Quality	Aggregate Governance Indicators 1996-2007	WB(AGI)
Rule of Law	Aggregate Governance Indicators 1996-2008	WB(AGI)
Control of Corruption	Aggregate Governance Indicators 1996-2009	WB(AGI)
AGI Compound index	Aggregate Governance Indicators 1996-2010: sum of 6 categories	WB(AGI)
Corruption Perception		Transparent
Index		International
EAP	Dummy: 1 if East Asia and Pacific	WB
ECA	Dummy: 1 if Europe and Central Asia	WB
MNA	Dummy: 1 if Middle East and North Africa	WB
SAS	Dummy: 1 if South Asia	WB
SSA_______________	Dummy: 1 if Sub-Saharan Africa__________________	WB_______

Notes: WEO -World Economic Outlook; AGI - Aggregate Governance Indicators; GDF - Global Development
Finance; IFS - International Financial Statistics; WB - World Bank; IMF - International Monetary Fund .

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