Cyclical Changes in Short-Run Earnings Mobility in Canada, 1982-1996



Table 7: One-Year Transition Matrices for Men and

Women, Earners, 1988-89 and 1991-92

Men

1988-89 (Peak)

1988/1989

VL

L

LM

HM

H

VH

Very High

0.29

0.43

1.28

2.59

11.64

83.77

High

0.55

0.96

3.26

16.21

64.56

14.46

High Middle

1.50

2.59

13.72

63.68

15.87

2.65

Low Middle

4.91

11.53

56.65

22.00

3.74

1.16

Low

16.54

39.59

33.82

7.74

1.62

0.69

Very Low

40.25

30.61

22.47

5.08

1.11

0.49

1991-92 (Trough)

1991/1992

VL

L

LM

HM

H

VH

Very High

0.40

0.62

1.66

2.85

8.97

85.49

High

0.85

1.35

4.12

13.25

65.32

15.12

High Middle

2.14

3.45

14.23

62.12

15.94

2.13

Low Middle

7.06

14.11

56.54

18.54

2.83

0.93

Low

19.63

42.54

29.85

6.19

1.29

0.49

Very Low

46.14

29.58

19.07

3.99

0.84

0.38

Women

1988-89 (Peak)

1988/1989

VL

L

LM

HM

H

VH

Very High

0.39

0.49

1.68

4.44

14.17

78.83

High

0.52

0.94

4.21

17.80

66.96

9.58

High Middle

1.34

2.25

15.76

70.45

9.20

1.00

Low Middle

4.64

11.04

68.38

14.62

1.09

0.23

Low

17.73

48.57

29.99

3.19

0.41

0.11

Very Low

52.21

31.19

14.74

1.53

0.27

0.07

1991-92 (Tro∙ugh)

1991/1992

VL

L

LM

HM

H

VH

Very High

0.34

0.54

1.69

3.55

10.00

83.89

High

0.62

0.96

4.41

12.85

67.10

14.06

High Middle

1.40

2.67

13.26

71.08

10.50

1.09

Low Middle

5.60

12.18

65.61

14.96

1.35

0.30

Low

20.18

49.78

26.23

3.32

0.37

0.11

Very Low

55.68

29.38

12.98

1.66

0.22

0.09

470


Charles M. Beach and Ross Finnie



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