Tariff Escalation and Invasive Species Risk



is the price response of import demand in absolute value, and the smaller is the export expansion
as a result of the lower tariff factor
τI . Given the assumptions we made on the supply of the raw
input and the technology of the processed good, it is easy to show that if the final good tariff
factor falls twice as fast as the raw-input tariff factor then the condition is satisfied.
5

3.3. Extensions

IS associated with both imported input and imported processed good

Suppose that the frequency of occurrence associated with imported processed good is zIFG per
unit, assumed negligible in the previous sections. We assume that
zIFGzI to reflect the fact that
input is much more likely to transfer risks into a country than processed goods are. Suppose the
effects of
zI and zIFG on the economy translate into an increase in the cost of production MCD of
the domestic input D as

p =MC =αD +z I +z IFG .
DD   IIFG

First, we describe the initial equilibrium with tariff escalation. Denote this equilibrium by
a superscript (
e). The equilibrium levels of FGe , DFGe , IFGe, and DIe remain the same as
those in the initial equilibrium (*) in the situation with absence of invasive species risks
associated with imported processed good. Since
PD=τI=αDe+zIIe+zIFGIFGe, and

De+Ie=DIe, we solve for De and Ie :

De


τI
α-zI


zIPG
α-zI


τIFG


τI
θτIFG

zK τθ-1

α - zI θτIFr
IIFG


, and


(17)


51+ [τ1 (1-θ)∕(αDI))] = 1+ (1- θ) (Dnn∕DI)*1, with Dnebeing the prevailing level of domestic supply D with no IS
externality (
β=0), the own-price elasticity of Dne= 1, and Dne/DI < 1.

15



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