03-01 "Read My Lips: More New Tax Cuts - The Distributional Impacts of Repealing Dividend Taxation"



G-DAE Working Paper No. 03-01: “Read My Lips: More New Tax Cuts”

27% of their dividend income. A typical high-income taxpayer, on the other hand,
receives a significant amount of dividend income and is taxed on this income at a
marginal rate of up to 38.6%.

One can use the data from Table 2 to estimate the average tax savings for those in each
AGI category. Tax savings for each AGI category are estimated using the 2002 tax tables
from the IRS. As tax brackets differ by filing status, the analysis is not straightforward.
Also, the appropriate marginal tax rate must be determined based on taxable income
rather than AGI. See Appendix 2 for the detailed assumptions made to derive the tax
savings estimates. The results, by AGI category, are presented in Table 3.17

Recall that 85% of all taxpayers had an AGI of less than $75,000 in 2000. The benefits
of the Bush proposal to repeal dividend taxation for these taxpayers average less than
$100. Of course, for a taxpayer who receives no dividend income (the majority of
taxpayers), he or she receives no direct benefit from repealing dividend taxes. For a
typical taxpayer with an AGI of around $20,000 or $30,000, the average benefits of
repealing dividend taxes amount to only about $40.

Table 3. Benefits of Repealing Dividend Taxation

AGI Category________

Avg. Dividend Income
per Return ($)

Avg. Tax
Savings ($)

Share of
Savings (%)

Avg. Increase
in AGI (%)

No AGI___________

$1,375

$0

0.0%

________0.0%

$1 under $5,000

88

9

0.3

0.3

$5,000 under $10,000

_______________149

_________15

___________0.5

_____________0.2

$10,000 under $15,000

_____________220

_______22

__________0.6

_____________0.2

$15,000 under $20,000

_____________274

________38

____________1.1

_____________0.2

$20,000 under $25,000

_____________249

________34

___________0.8

_____________0.2

$25,000 under $30,000

______________313

_______47

__________0.9

_____________0.2

$30,000 under $40,000

______________398

________60

____________1.9

_____________0.2

$40,000 under $50,000

_____________604

_______124

___________3.1

______________0.3

$50,000 under $75,000

_______________853

_______157

__________6.4

______________0.3

$75,000 under $100,000

______________1,462

396

___________8.1

_____________0.5

$100,000 under $200,000

_____________3,324

911

_________17.6

_____________0.7

$200,000 under $500,000

_____________10,848

3,797

_________19.4

_______________1.3

$500,000 under $1,000,000

____________28,943

11,172

_________10.6

______________1.6

$1,000,000 under $1,500,000

____________51,882

20,026

__________4.8

______________1.7

$1,500,000 under $2,000,000

____________78,266

30,211

__________3.2

______________1.8

$2,000,000 under $5,000,000

120,901

46,668

7.4

1.6

$5,000,000 under $10,000,000

__________266,578

102,899

___________4.3

_______________1.5

$10,000,000 or more

___________862,542

332,941

___________8.9

______________1.2

TOTAL           ~

____________$1,136

$323

100%

_______+0.7%

17 The benefit estimates in Table 3 are based on the quantity and distribution of dividend income in 2000.
Of course, the quantity and distribution of dividend income could differ in the future. Thus, the estimates
should not be interpreted as projections of tax savings should dividend taxes be eliminated.

10



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