Correlation Analysis of Financial Contagion: What One Should Know Before Running a Test



Korea


Malaysia


Indon.


Thail.


Philip.


Fig. 2b - Stock market covariance of weekly returns


(Asia vs. Hong Kong and Singapore; 3 exponential month moving average)


Hong Kong


Singapore


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0.32 -

0.24 -

0.16 -

0.08 -

0.00 -

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0.16 -

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1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999


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0.42

0.35

0.28

0.21

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0.48

0.40

0.32

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1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999


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1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999


0.4

0.3

0.2

0.1

0.0

-0.1

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≡≡≡≡π≡w wwmπ wwwwwτ τrrmrrrrrrwrrrr


1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999



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0.20

0.15

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1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999


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