For Whom is MAI? A theoretical Perspective on Multilateral Agreements on Investments



Furthermore, one easily checks that when ° = 1/2, then β* = 11 7+12fg4β is
always larger than 7/4. Hence, there must exist
°l and °u, 0 < °* °l < °u <
1/2, such that βl < β* < 0.5 if and only if °l < ° < °u. The values of °l and
°u are found to be, respectively,

°l =

2 βl - 4 + 12 V(132β2 - 276βl + 141),

(21)

°u  =

-2 + 6^(21 + 12β2 - 30βl).

(22)

Next, we see that

<9ΔE   3      1 _

(23)

~=4+°-2β>0

for β < 0.5. Consider then β = 0.5. In this case, ΔE = 0 iff. ° = °u. Thus, by
(23), it must be that
ΔE > 0 if and only if ° < °u. Likewise, consider β = βl.
Then,
ΔE = 0 iff. ° = °l. Thus, by (23), it must be that ΔE < 0 if and only
if ° > °
l. The above findings are summarized in Lemma 2.

A.3 Appendix 3. Proof of Lemma 3.

Since EZyh = E_ Zyh for the country with bargaining power β*, we have that

(p´ (β* - °)(1 - β* + °) - ( — ɔ (β* (1 - β*)) = 0.       (24)

Z∕                               1 — z J

Solving (24) for p we obtain

* (1 - β*)

(25)


(β* - °)(1 - β* + °)(1 - z) + * (1 - β*).

It is directly seen from (25) that p is in the range (0,1) for any z in (0,1) and
that
limp = 0 and limp = 1. It can also be checked that since β* 1/2, then
z0           z1

p > z. Finally, we can show that p is monotonically rising with z. To do that,
we need to recall that β
* = 0.5 - z (0.5 - βl) (this comes from (7)). >From
total differentiation of p with respect to z we have
@p = pz + pj- β). Partial
derivatives are easily evaluated as follows:

pz

p^*

βZ


β* (1 - β*)(β* - °)(1 - β* + °)

[(β* - °)(1 - β* + °) (1 - z) + * (1 - β*)]2

-(1 - z) [(1 - 2β*) (1 + °) + 2β*2]

[(β* - °)(1 - β* + °) (1 - z) + * (1 - β*)]2


> 0,

< 0,


- (0.5 - βl ) 0,


(26)

(27)

(28)


23




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