Table 13 Percentage change in the sectoral composition of US exports derived from the CGE model, FOB
weights
|
Sector |
Uruguay Round |
Tokyo Round |
Transportation |
Preferential |
Nontariff barrier |
1990 tariff |
|
Paddy rice |
-5.7 |
-7.1 |
-17.2 |
1.7 |
-16.6 |
-5.0 |
|
Wheat |
-2.7 |
-2.7 |
-12.0 |
0.5 |
-8.1 |
-2.6 |
|
Other cereal grains |
-3.8 |
-4.3 |
-5.0 |
-0.0 |
-6.3 |
-2.9 |
|
Vegetables, fruit, nuts |
-12.0 |
-13.7 |
-4.3 |
-1.8 |
-25.8 |
-12.3 |
|
Oil seeds |
-4.5 |
-4.2 |
-8.8 |
1.3 |
-9.0 |
-4.8 |
|
Sugar cane, beet |
11.5 |
9.7 |
-23.7 |
3.3 |
-2.0 |
8.7 |
|
Plant-based fibers |
-6.3 |
-8.7 |
-7.8 |
1.2 |
-8.6 |
-3.1 |
|
Other crops |
1.6 |
-0.7 |
-12.5 |
0.0 |
-26.3 |
3.4 |
|
Cattle, sheep & goats, horses |
-15.4 |
-16.7 |
-19.3 |
2.3 |
-26.0 |
-14.8 |
|
Other animal products |
-5.8 |
-7.8 |
-4.4 |
0.1 |
-13.7 |
-8.4 |
|
Raw milk |
11.8 |
9.5 |
4.0 |
9.4 |
-12.0 |
4.1 |
|
Wool, silkworm cocoons |
-1.8 |
-2.2 |
-7.1 |
4.2 |
-26.9 |
-1.8 |
|
Forestry |
-5.2 |
-8.0 |
-4.6 |
0.3 |
-28.6 |
-7.9 |
|
Fishing |
1.2 |
0.0 |
-0.7 |
0.2 |
-22.1 |
-0.2 |
|
Coal |
-0.4 |
-2.1 |
-17.7 |
2.0 |
-3.0 |
-2.6 |
|
Oil |
-14.3 |
-26.0 |
-7.8 |
-21.6 |
0.9 |
-25.5 |
|
Gas |
-26.6 |
-33.4 |
-0.1 |
-20.6 |
-99.7 |
-18.0 |
|
Other minerals |
-2.2 |
-3.0 |
-1.6 |
-0.7 |
-1.1 |
-3.0 |
|
Cattle, sheep & goat meat |
-30.4 |
-32.2 |
-16.5 |
-15.2 |
-40.3 |
-28.8 |
|
Other meat products |
-18.3 |
-20.3 |
1.8 |
-7.5 |
-27.7 |
-24.4 |
|
Vegetable oils & fats |
-17.7 |
-21.2 |
2.0 |
-8.6 |
-18.8 |
-12.4 |
|
Dairy products |
-76.1 |
-77.4 |
-2.4 |
-28.0 |
-53.3 |
-75.3 |
|
Processed rice |
-8.0 |
-9.5 |
-7.9 |
2.1 |
-18.2 |
-7.8 |
|
Sugar |
-29.6 |
-34.8 |
-12.6 |
-18.8 |
-29.2 |
-18.6 |
|
Other food products |
-7.7 |
-10.5 |
-0.4 |
-5.3 |
-21.3 |
-5.1 |
|
Beverages & tobacco |
-11.4 |
-25.6 |
-9.0 |
-2.1 |
-12.7 |
-18.7 |
|
Textiles |
-21.7 |
-29.5 |
-3.2 |
-21.6 |
-20.2 |
-23.3 |
|
Wearing apparel |
-23.8 |
-29.2 |
-1.9 |
-23.6 |
-23.1 |
-23.7 |
|
Leather products |
-31.2 |
-37.3 |
-3.1 |
-23.4 |
-25.0 |
-38.1 |
|
Wood products |
-13.7 |
-22.1 |
-0.6 |
-16.6 |
-18.0 |
-20.2 |
|
Paper products, publishing |
-8.7 |
-18.5 |
-2.9 |
-7.0 |
-11.6 |
-17.1 |
|
Petroleum, coal products |
-7.4 |
-8.6 |
-22.1 |
-3.7 |
-14.7 |
-2.5 |
|
Chemical, rubber, plastics |
-7.5 |
-13.5 |
-4.4 |
-5.4 |
-14.1 |
-10.5 |
|
Nonmetallic minerals |
-10.4 |
-17.7 |
-1.6 |
-12.4 |
-11.1 |
-16.6 |
|
Ferrous metals |
-11.2 |
-20.4 |
-2.5 |
-13.0 |
-16.7 |
-17.1 |
|
Other metals |
-10.6 |
-17.6 |
-1.7 |
-9.2 |
-12.6 |
-13.1 |
|
Metal products |
-20.2 |
-28.9 |
-1.4 |
-21.4 |
-16.2 |
-23.5 |
|
Motor vehicles & parts |
-11.3 |
-14.9 |
1.1 |
-16.2 |
-17.1 |
-12.4 |
|
Other transport equipment |
-8.7 |
-14.4 |
1.1 |
0.2 |
-21.4 |
-12.0 |
|
Electronic equipment |
-7.0 |
-13.1 |
-4.6 |
-5.3 |
-13.7 |
-8.9 |
|
Other machinery & equipment |
-7.6 |
-13.9 |
-3.2 |
-5.5 |
-14.3 |
-12.4 |
|
Other manufactures |
-7.2 |
-15.2 |
-4.3 |
-3.7 |
-17.0 |
-14.0 |
|
Services |
-1.5 |
-3.5 |
1.2 |
3.0 |
-7.5 |
-4.2 |
CGE = computable general equilibrium; FOB = free on board
Source: Gilbert (2009) calculations using GTAP7 database.
29