Table 15 Percentage change in the sectoral composition of US imports derived from the CGE model,
CIF weights
Sector |
Uruguay Round |
Tokyo Round |
Transportation |
Preferential |
Nontariff barrier |
1990 tariff |
Paddy rice |
-18.3 |
-23.7 |
-22.9 |
-4.3 |
-57.1 |
-20.1 |
Wheat |
-11.5 |
-16.2 |
-30.6 |
-17.2 |
-23.6 |
-14.1 |
Other cereal grains |
-2.1 |
-3.2 |
-3.3 |
-0.8 |
-23.4 |
-2.8 |
Vegetables, fruit, nuts |
-6.1 |
-8.1 |
-1.8 |
-3.3 |
-24.5 |
-6.5 |
Oil seeds |
-31.7 |
-35.7 |
-5.0 |
-1.8 |
-20.8 |
-6.2 |
Sugar cane, beet |
1.7 |
1.1 |
-0.5 |
-2.0 |
9.1 |
1.4 |
Plant-based fibers |
-8.4 |
-8.4 |
-6.2 |
-2.4 |
2.1 |
-3.7 |
Other crops |
-0.2 |
-0.3 |
-3.3 |
-1.3 |
-9.4 |
1.1 |
Cattle, sheep & goats, horses |
-2.9 |
-4.1 |
-12.2 |
0.5 |
-19.6 |
-2.7 |
Other animal products |
-2.4 |
-2.2 |
-0.8 |
-1.1 |
-8.7 |
-1.5 |
Raw milk |
-4.8 |
-3.2 |
-2.4 |
-5.3 |
12.5 |
-1.9 |
Wool, silkworm cocoons |
-1.1 |
-1.4 |
-2.2 |
-0.9 |
-13.7 |
-1.3 |
Forestry |
-0.6 |
-0.2 |
-1.4 |
-0.3 |
-13.3 |
0.6 |
Fishing |
0.3 |
0.1 |
-0.1 |
-0.5 |
-9.5 |
0.3 |
Coal |
0.1 |
0.6 |
-30.3 |
-1.7 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
Oil |
-1.1 |
-1.4 |
-2.1 |
-0.8 |
-1.8 |
0.5 |
Gas |
-3.4 |
-3.8 |
-0.3 |
-3.4 |
-25.7 |
-1.1 |
Other minerals |
-0.2 |
-0.4 |
-0.8 |
-1.0 |
-0.3 |
-0.3 |
Cattle, sheep & goat meat |
-10.7 |
-13.4 |
-12.8 |
-6.2 |
-57.2 |
-3.6 |
Other meat products |
-20.7 |
-23.0 |
-6.5 |
-13.4 |
-55.3 |
-21.1 |
Vegetable oils & fats |
-9.2 |
-12.1 |
-6.7 |
-4.4 |
-8.3 |
-10.3 |
Dairy products |
-20.5 |
-20.0 |
-4.8 |
-10.6 |
-67.1 |
-16.6 |
Processed rice |
-4.4 |
-8.9 |
0.3 |
-1.8 |
-19.0 |
-5.0 |
Sugar |
-11.6 |
-12.5 |
-0.7 |
-1.4 |
4.0 |
-11.0 |
Other food products |
-6.3 |
-7.9 |
-3.1 |
-3.7 |
-25.9 |
-4.9 |
Beverages & tobacco |
-10.2 |
-10.2 |
-7.0 |
-1.3 |
-7.6 |
-5.6 |
Textiles |
-4.4 |
-9.3 |
-0.8 |
-5.5 |
-9.2 |
-9.6 |
Wearing apparel |
-4.9 |
-9.5 |
-2.7 |
-4.4 |
-23.1 |
-9.3 |
Leather products |
-3.9 |
-4.6 |
-0.4 |
-2.0 |
-2.9 |
-5.0 |
Wood products |
-1.9 |
-6.5 |
-3.8 |
-4.1 |
-16.4 |
-6.8 |
Paper products, publishing |
-0.2 |
-4.9 |
-3.0 |
-3.0 |
5.9 |
-4.0 |
Petroleum, coal products |
-1.3 |
-2.1 |
-3.8 |
-0.9 |
2.5 |
-1.3 |
Chemical, rubber, plastics |
-5.6 |
-11.2 |
-2.9 |
-4.5 |
-4.8 |
-10.4 |
Nonmetallic minerals |
-3.9 |
-7.0 |
0.9 |
-4.5 |
3.3 |
-4.7 |
Ferrous metals |
-2.5 |
-12.6 |
-10.7 |
-4.6 |
2.8 |
-10.9 |
Other metals |
-4.1 |
-7.1 |
-1.1 |
-5.1 |
4.7 |
-5.6 |
Metal products |
-4.6 |
-9.2 |
-5.4 |
-5.5 |
-0.4 |
-8.8 |
Motor vehicles & parts |
-8.6 |
-11.0 |
-4.0 |
-5.0 |
-15.9 |
-5.5 |
Other transport equipment |
-21.9 |
-23.4 |
-3.5 |
-5.2 |
-34.8 |
-14.4 |
Electronic equipment |
-9.7 |
-15.8 |
-2.6 |
-3.2 |
-8.6 |
-16.3 |
Other machinery & equipment |
-9.3 |
-14.4 |
-4.3 |
-6.1 |
-10.7 |
-11.4 |
Other manufactures |
-5.2 |
-11.3 |
1.5 |
-2.9 |
-3.2 |
-10.8 |
Services |
0.8 |
1.9 |
0.4 |
-1.5 |
4.4 |
2.4 |
CGE = computable general equilibrium; CIF = cost, insurance, and freight
Source: Gilbert (2009) calculations using GTAP7 database.
31
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