Table 12 Absolute change in the sectoral composition of US exports derived from the CGE model, FOB
weights (billions of US dollars)
|
Sector |
Uruguay Round |
Tokyo Round |
Transportation |
Preferential |
Nontariff barrier |
1990 tariff |
|
Paddy rice |
-0.03 |
-0.04 |
-0.09 |
0.01 |
-0.09 |
-0.03 |
|
Wheat |
-0.16 |
-0.17 |
-0.73 |
0.03 |
-0.49 |
-0.16 |
|
Other cereal grains |
-0.30 |
-0.33 |
-0.39 |
-0.00 |
-0.49 |
-0.22 |
|
Vegetables, fruit, nuts |
-0.87 |
-1.00 |
-0.31 |
-0.13 |
-1.88 |
-0.90 |
|
Oil seeds |
-0.34 |
-0.32 |
-0.67 |
0.10 |
-0.68 |
-0.36 |
|
Sugar cane, beet |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.00 |
0.00 |
|
Plant-based fibers |
-0.27 |
-0.38 |
-0.34 |
0.05 |
-0.37 |
-0.13 |
|
Other crops |
0.04 |
-0.02 |
-0.33 |
0.00 |
-0.70 |
0.09 |
|
Cattle, sheep & goats, horses |
-0.06 |
-0.07 |
-0.08 |
0.01 |
-0.10 |
-0.06 |
|
Other animal products |
-0.15 |
-0.20 |
-0.11 |
0.00 |
-0.34 |
-0.21 |
|
Raw milk |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.00 |
0.00 |
|
Wool, silkworm cocoons |
-0.00 |
-0.00 |
-0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.01 |
-0.00 |
|
Forestry |
-0.08 |
-0.13 |
-0.07 |
0.00 |
-0.45 |
-0.13 |
|
Fishing |
0.01 |
0.00 |
-0.01 |
0.00 |
-0.17 |
-0.00 |
|
Coal |
-0.01 |
-0.05 |
-0.45 |
0.05 |
-0.08 |
-0.07 |
|
Oil |
-0.02 |
-0.04 |
-0.01 |
-0.03 |
0.00 |
-0.04 |
|
Gas |
-0.53 |
-0.67 |
-0.00 |
-0.41 |
-1.99 |
-0.36 |
|
Other minerals |
-0.09 |
-0.12 |
-0.07 |
-0.03 |
-0.04 |
-0.12 |
|
Cattle, sheep & goat meat |
-0.52 |
-0.55 |
-0.28 |
-0.26 |
-0.68 |
-0.49 |
|
Other meat products |
-1.18 |
-1.31 |
0.12 |
-0.48 |
-1.78 |
-1.58 |
|
Vegetable oils & fats |
-0.50 |
-0.59 |
0.06 |
-0.24 |
-0.53 |
-0.35 |
|
Dairy products |
-2.19 |
-2.23 |
-0.07 |
-0.81 |
-1.54 |
-2.17 |
|
Processed rice |
-0.06 |
-0.07 |
-0.06 |
0.02 |
-0.13 |
-0.06 |
|
Sugar |
-0.04 |
-0.04 |
-0.02 |
-0.02 |
-0.04 |
-0.02 |
|
Other food products |
-1.36 |
-1.85 |
-0.07 |
-0.94 |
-3.75 |
-0.90 |
|
Beverages & tobacco |
-0.54 |
-1.21 |
-0.42 |
-0.10 |
-0.60 |
-0.88 |
|
Textiles |
-3.26 |
-4.43 |
-0.48 |
-3.25 |
-3.03 |
-3.51 |
|
Wearing apparel |
-0.86 |
-1.06 |
-0.07 |
-0.86 |
-0.84 |
-0.86 |
|
Leather products |
-0.82 |
-0.98 |
-0.08 |
-0.62 |
-0.66 |
-1.01 |
|
Wood products |
-1.19 |
-1.92 |
-0.05 |
-1.44 |
-1.57 |
-1.75 |
|
Paper products, publishing |
-1.96 |
-4.20 |
-0.65 |
-1.59 |
-2.63 |
-3.87 |
|
Petroleum, coal products |
-1.24 |
-1.45 |
-3.72 |
-0.63 |
-2.48 |
-0.43 |
|
Chemical, rubber, plastics |
-10.96 |
-19.76 |
-6.45 |
-7.89 |
-20.59 |
-15.26 |
|
Nonmetallic minerals |
-0.74 |
-1.26 |
-0.11 |
-0.88 |
-0.79 |
-1.18 |
|
Ferrous metals |
-1.16 |
-2.10 |
-0.26 |
-1.34 |
-1.73 |
-1.77 |
|
Other metals |
-1.72 |
-2.87 |
-0.28 |
-1.49 |
-2.06 |
-2.13 |
|
Metal products |
-3.60 |
-5.16 |
-0.24 |
-3.83 |
-2.89 |
-4.20 |
|
Motor vehicles & parts |
-9.22 |
-12.09 |
0.86 |
-13.14 |
-13.89 |
-10.11 |
|
Other transport equipment |
-5.52 |
-9.16 |
0.67 |
0.15 |
-13.62 |
-7.63 |
|
Electronic equipment |
-7.77 |
-14.45 |
-5.05 |
-5.89 |
-15.19 |
-9.85 |
|
Other machinery & equipment |
-13.92 |
-25.60 |
-5.84 |
-10.21 |
-26.25 |
-22.72 |
|
Other manufactures |
-1.21 |
-2.58 |
-0.73 |
-0.62 |
-2.88 |
-2.37 |
|
Services |
-3.87 |
-8.93 |
2.97 |
7.65 |
-19.23 |
-10.83 |
CGE = computable general equilibrium; FOB = free on board
Source: Gilbert (2009) calculations using GTAP7 database.
28
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