The name is absent



34

Table 2.2: Simulated data set, marginal posterior cell probabilities with central 95%
credible intervals. In bold are the true cell probabilities.

Group A

Ordinal

level

0

1

2

3

Tl

0.619(0.64)

0.299(0.274)

0.023(0.027)

0.059(0.059)

(0.576, 0.658)

(0.264, 0.337)

(0.017, 0.031)

(0.045, 0.074)

T2

0.65(0.683)

0.272(0.246)

0.028(0.021)

0.05(0.05)

(0.609, 0.689)

(0.237, 0.309)

(0.02, 0.036)

(0.037, 0.064)

T3

0.662(0.72)

0.253(0.22)

0.029(0.017)

0.056(0.042)

(0.62, 0.703)

(0.216, 0.29)

(0.019, 0.041)

(0.042, 0.072)

T4

0.736(0.757)

0.183(0.193)

0.036(0.016)

0.045(0.034)

(0.697, 0.774)

(0.15, 0.218)

(0.024, 0.049)

(0.032, 0.061)

Group B

Tl

0.646(0.64)

0.274(0.274)

0.022(0.027)

0.057(0.059)

(0.604, 0.685)

(0.239, 0.311)

(0.016, 0.03)

(0.044, 0.073)

T2

0.581(0.586)

0.335(0.306)

0.03(0.036)

0.054(0.071)

(0.538, 0.623)

(0.297, 0.372)

(0.023, 0.038)

(0.041, 0.069)

T3

0.52(0.517)

0.379(0.348)

0.036(0.049)

0.065(0.086)

(0.475, 0.564)

(0.341, 0.417)

(0.027, 0.045)

(0.05, 0.082)

T4

0.405(0.432)

0.469(0.4)

0.056(0.061)

0.069(0.107)

(0.361, 0.45)

(0.434, 0.502)

(0.045, 0.069)

(0.055, 0.086)



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