How much do Educational Outcomes Matter in OECD Countries?



Table 1: Income, growth, and schooling in OECD countries, 1960-2000

Growth____________ _______GDP per capita_______ _______Years of schooling______ _________Test scores

1960-2000

_____________(1)____

1960-1980
(2)

1980-2000
(3)

1960
(4)

1980
(5)

2000
(6)

1960
(?)

1980
(8)

2000
(9)

Mean
(ɪθ)

Basic
(ɪɪ)

Top
(12)

Australia

AUS

2.22

2.41

2.03

10,618

17,092

25,535

9.3

11.5

11.8

509.4

93.8

11.2

Austria

AUT

2.96

3.86

2.07

7,365

15,706

23,681

4.2

7.3

9.0

508.9

93.1

9.7

Belgium

BEL

2.84

3.78

1.91

7,759

16,303

23,784

6.9

8.5

10.2

504.1

93.1

9.4

Canada

CAN

2.40

3.06

1.75

10,419

19,022

26,922

8.3

9.7

11.0

503.8

94.8

8.3

Denmark

DEN

2.25

2.61

1.90

10,917

18,282

26,627

7.9

9.3

9.7

496.2

88.8

8.8

Finland

FIN

2.95

3.73

2.17

7,438

15,484

23,798

5.7

8.3

8.2

512.6

95.8

12.4

France

FRA

2.65

3.68

1.63

7,860

16,201

22,371

4.2

6.0

9.5

504.0

92.6

8.5

Greece

GRE

3.19

5.34

1.09

4,159

11,767

14,625

7.4

7.1

8.9

460.8

79.8

4.2

Iceland

ICE

2.84

4.07

1.61

8,106

18,017

24,794

6.2

7.9

9.6

493.6

90.8

7.4

Ireland

IRE

4.14

3.30

4.98

5,208

9,978

26,379

8.0

9.9

10.9

499.5

91.4

9.4

Italy

ITA

2.95

4.08

1.83

6,817

15,161

21,794

4.9

6.5

9.1

475.8

87.5

5.4

Japan

JAP

4.26

6.24

2.31

4,657

15,631

24,672

8.0

9.3

10.9

531.0

96.7

16.8

Korea, Rep.

KOR

5.95

5.78

6.13

1,571

4,830

15,881

4.3

8.3

11.1

533.8

96.2

17.8

Mexico

MEX

2.00

3.30

0.71

3,970

7,603

8,766

2.8

4.9

7.6

399.8

48.9

0.9

Netherlands

NET

2.44

2.82

2.06

9,263

16,164

24,313

6.3

9.4

10.7

511.5

96.5

9.2

New Zealand

NEW

1.23

1.07

1.38

11,555

14,304

18,824

10.2

11.8

12.2

497.8

91.0

10.6

Norway

NOR

3.02

3.62

2.42

8,239

16,772

27,044

7.6

9.1

11.3

483.0

89.4

5.6

Portugal

POR

3.92

4.95

2.89

3,434

9,024

15,955

3.2

5.5

7.6

456.4

80.3

3.2

Spain

SPA

3.43

4.59

2.27

4,693

11,520

18,055

3.3

6.2

9.3

482.9

85.9

7.9

Sweden

SWE

2.15

2.69

1.61

10,112

17,179

23,662

7.3

9.4

11.1

501.3

93.9

8.8

Switzerland

SWI

1.45

2.05

0.85

14,877

22,320

26,422

7.6

10.3

9.6

514.2

91.9

13.4

Turkey

TUR

2.35

2.38

2.32

2,700

4,325

6,838

1.6

3.6

6.0

412.8

58.2

3.9

United Kingdom

GBR

2.10

1.98

2.21

9,682

14,340

22,188

7.0

8.1

9.0

495.0

92.9

8.8

United States

USA

2.50

2.75

2.25

12,414

21,337

33,308

9.2

12.2

13.0

490.3

91.8

7,3

Mean

2.84

3.51

2.18

7,660

14,515

21,927

6.3

8.3

9.9

490.8

88.1

8.7

Minimum

1.23

1.07

0.71

1,571

4,325

6,838

1.6

3.6

6.0

399.8

48.9

0.9

Maximum

5.95

6.24

6.13

14,877

22,320

33,308

10,2

12.2

13.0

533.8

96.7

17,8

Notes'. Sample: 24 OECD countries with income and education data for the whole period. Growth = average annual growth rate in GDP per capita (in percent). GDP per
capita: in constant international dollars. Years of schooling: population aged 15 years and above. Test scores: average of math and science, all available tests (1964-
2003); basic∕top: percent of students over 400/600.
Sources: Heston, Summers, and Aten (2002); Barro and Lee (2010); Hanushek and Woessmann (2009).

Table 2: Basic results on educational outcomes and long-run economic growth in OECD countries

1960-1980 1980-2000 Avg. yearsa GDP>10,000b Growth<5⅜c Full country sample

(ɪ)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

(?)

(8)

(9)

(ɪθ)

Cognitive skills

1.864

1.968

1.737

2.350

1.735

1.398

1.525

1.978

(3-83)

(6 72)

(2-95)

(3.P7)

(3.26)

(2.89)

(4.33)

(7.98)

Initial years of schooling

0.173

0.046

0.024

0.147

0.096

0.029

0.056

0.396

0.080

(2.09)

(0.82)

(0.23)

(R 30)

f7.√0)

(0.50)

(1.06)

(2.89)

(1.07)

Initial GDP per capita

-0.293

-0.303

-0.285

-0.338

-0.250

-0.311

-0.302

-0.273

-0.405

-0.313

(A20)

(8.61)

(10.33)

(3.23)

(6.18)

(P.55)

(8.58)

(7.41)

(4.67)

(5.67)

OECD

1.437

0.859

(1.68)

(0.32)

OECD x Cognitive skills

-0.203

(0.36)

OECD x Initial years of

-0.110

schooling

(0-65)

No. of countries

24

24

24

24

24

24

22

23

50

50

F (OECD and interaction)

2.37

0.10

R2 (adj.)____________________

0.559

0.828

0.831

0.630

0.658

0.839

0.835

0.738

0.297

0.723

Notes: Dependent variable: average annual growth rate in GDP per capita, 1960-2000 (unless noted otherwise). Sample: OECD countries (unless noted otherwise).
Regressions include a constant, /-statistics in parentheses, a Years of schooling averaged between 1960 and 2000. b Sample excludes Mexico and Turkey, c Sample
excludes Korea.

Source: Authors’ calculations based on data in Heston, Summers, and Aten (2002), Hanushek and Woessmann (2009), and Barro and Lee (2010).



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