How much do Educational Outcomes Matter in OECD Countries?



60%



Year

Figure 4. Improvement in annual GDP with Scenario I (increase everyone by ¼ std. dev.)


Notes: GDP with reform relative to GDP without reform in each year after the reform starts. Main line:
point estimate of Scenario I. Gray dotted lines: 95% confidence internal of the point estimate of the
growth regression.

Source: Authors’ calculations.

Figure 5. Present value of Scenario II (bring each country to Finish level) in percent of current GDP


Notes: Discounted value of future increases in GDP until 2090 due to a reform that brings each countιy to the Finish
average level of 546 PISA points, expressed as percentage of current GDP. Value is 2389% for Mexico and 1844% for
Turkey.

Source: Authors’ depiction based on the projection analysis reported in column (3) of Table 7.

Figure 6. Present value of Scenario III (bring everyone up to minimum skills) in percent of current
GDP

Notes: Discounted value of future increases in GDP until 2090 due to a reform that brings every individual in the country
up to a minimum skill level of 400 PISA points, expressed as percentage of current GDP. Value is 1794% for Mexico
and 1430% for Turkey.

Source: Authors’ depiction based on the projection analysis reported in column (7) of Table 7.


KOR

FIN



CZE


SLK P0L HUN


NEW

SPA


POR
GRE


NET

AUS j⅛½L

DEN

--SWE te*

GBWA


NOR


ITA


SWI


USA



20000      40∞0      60000      80000      100000

Cumulative expenditure per student

Figure 7. Educational spending and student achievement across countries

Notes: The figure plots the average math achievement in PISA 2006 against cumulative expenditure
on educational institutions per student between age 6 and 15, in US dollars, converted by
purchasing power parities. Gray line: regression line for full sample. Black line: regression line
for countries with expenditure above $20,000.

Source: Authors’ depiction based on Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (2007).



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