How much do Educational Outcomes Matter in OECD Countries?



USA

Figure 1. GDP per capita in OECD countries in 1960 and 2000

Notes: GDP per capita in constant international dollars, 24 OECD countries with income and
education data for the whole period. Colom for expositional purposes only.

Source: Authors’ depiction based on data from Heston, Summers, and Aten (2002).



550


Figure 2. Educational performance and economic growth across OECD countries

Notes: Added-variable plot of a regression of the average annual rate of growth (in percent) of
real GDP per capita in 1960-2000 on the initial level of real GDP per capita in I960, average test
scores on international student achievement tests, and average years of schooling in 1960 (mean
of the unconditional variables added to each axis).

Source: Authors’ depiction based on the regression analysis reported in column (2) of Table 2.

Figure 3. QuantiIe regression estimates


Notes: The straight line represents quantile regression estimates in 5-percent steps of the
coefficient on test scores in a model corresponding to column (2) of Table 2. The shaded area
shows the 90-percent confidence internai of the quantile regression estimates. The horizontal
dashed line represents the OLS estimate and the dotted line its 90-percent confidence interval.

Source: Authors’ depiction based on own regression analysis.



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