On the Existence of the Moments of the Asymptotic Trace Statistic



Note that inequality (6) cannot be used to bound the moments of ZT,d uniformly in T,
because the moments of a
χ2-distributed random variable depend on the degrees of freedom.

Lemma 2. Let ZT,d be defined as in (3). Then there exist some constants a and b such
that, for all T > d,

(i) E (ZTd´ < a,

(ii) E (ZT,d´ < b.

Proof. Using an inequality of Coope (1994), we get, on account of (5),

ZT,d = tr(AT-1BTBT0 ) tr(AT-1)tr(BTBT0 ),                      (7)

since AT-1 and BT BT0 are symmetric and nonnegative definite matrices of the same order.

To deal with AT, let λ1 ... λT-1 λT 0 and v1, . . . , vT be the eigenvalues and the
associated orthonormal eigenvectors, respectively, of the symmetric and nonnegative definite
(
T × T) matrix F = D0D. Then, for any m {1, . . . , T - 1},

Tm

F = X λtvtv't ° λm X vtv'0 =: Fm ,                      (8)

t=1               t=1

where ° denotes the Lowner partial ordering for symmetric matrices. Because of the or-
thonormality of the matrix
V = (v1, . . . , vT), V0ε has the same distribution as ε, that is, with
the notation of Muirhead (1982),
V0ε ~ N(0, IT ® Id). This implies

m

ε,Fm = λmU, with U := ∑ε'vtv'tε ~ Wd(m,Id),

t=1

and thus, in view of (4) and (8),

AT = 712εFε ° T2εFmε = Tm U =: AT,m.                 (9)

Clearly, AT,m is almost surely positive definite if m d. Then (9) leads to A-m ° AT1, so
that we arrive at

T2

tr(AT1) tr(ATm) = — tr(U-1).                       (10)

λm

Observing

/

0

0

...

... 0

T-

T-

1

T-

T-

2

T-

T-

3 ...

1

0

1

T-

2

T-

2

T-

3 ...

1

0

1

0

...

... 0

3

3

3 ...

1

0

D = BA =

1
.

1
.

0

... 0

, F = DD =

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

..

..

.

1

.

1

.

1

.

...

.

1

.

0

1V

1

1

...

10

0

0

0

...

1

0

it follows TT = 0, and λ 1 ,...,TT-1 are the eigenvalues of the positive definite matrix F
obtained from F by deleting the last column and the last row. This matrix can be represented



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