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Table 6

Estimated Probability of Attaining 4-year degree for High School Graduates
Duration - Competing Risk model

Model                            First Enter 2-year College                     First Enter 4-year College

Immediate Entry Delay Entry 1-year Immediate Entry Delay Entry 1-year

Time Constant Coefficient

1. One Mass point U.H. Dist.

0.238

0.143

0.447

0.327

2. Two Mass point U.H. Dist.

0.327

0.244

0.343

0.248

3. Three Mass point U.H.

0.361

0.280

0.301

0.267

Dist.

Time-Varying Coefficient

4.

One Mass-point U.H. Dist.

0.241

0.146

0.453

0.305

5.

Two Mass-point U.H. Dist.

0.342

0.259

0.366

0.258

6.

Three Mass-point U.H.

0.384

0.330

0.434

0.294

Dist.



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