Nonparametric cointegration analysis



The absence of the drift parameter vector μ in the right-hand side of (11) is due to conditions
(6) and (7). Since the matrix
Σk in (12) is diagonal, due to condition (6), and the two
components on the right-hand side of (11) are linear functionals of a Wiener process and thus
normally distributed, they are independent. They are also independent over
k, due to the
conditions (8), (9) and (10). Thus we have:

Lemma 1. Under Assumption 1 and conditions (6) through (10),

(                ʌ

Mnz(Fk)/Tn

M (Fk)F

k k


.. Γrr ^^     ~ ' ' ' ’ ~

D


C(1)Xk\ J JFk(x)Fk(У)min(x,У)dxdy

k       C (1) Ykfj( x )2dx
jointly for k =
1 ,...,m, with m a fixed natural number, where the Xk ,s and Yk S are

independent q-variate standard normally distributed random vectors depending on Fk in the
following way:

JFk(x ) W(x ) dx

'-k ɪ ,                             ---------------

J JJFk(x )Fk (y )min(x, y ) dxdy


Yk


Fk(1) W(1) - Jfk(x ) W(x ) dx
J JFk(x )2 dx


(13)


This result holds regardless the possible existence of cointegration. Thus Lemma 1 proves (5),
with
C(1)Xk replaced by [C(1)C(1)T]1/2Xk , and similarly for Yk .

Next, assume that there are r linear independent cointegrating vectors. As is well-
known, we can write
where
Λq-r is the diagonal matrix of the q-r positive eigenvalues, Rq-r is the corresponding
matrix of orthonormal eigenvectors, and
Rr is the matrix of orthonormal eigenvectors

C(1)C(1)T R RΛR T = (Rq_r, Rr)


(.

Λ

q

к O


' Rr
ʌRr )




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