Growth and Technological Leadership in US Industries: A Spatial Econometric Analysis at the State Level, 1963-1997



Table 6: Unconditional Convergence with Spatial Regimes, 1963—1997 (continued).

Sectors

______________Transportation/Utihties______________

Services

Financ

e Insurance

and Real Estate

Models a

OLS      ______ML-HET_____

OLS      GM-HET

OLS

GM-HET_______

Low      High

Low    High

Low

High

Variables

Constant

8.25***            12.33***       5.82

3 77***     5 93**    ɛ 92***

7.20***

13.78***

3.86

Log GDP 1963

-0.70***            -1.07***       -0.48

-0.33***    -0.55**   -0.82***

-0.58***

-1 15***

-0.31

Lagged GDP growth

0.37***

Spatial ARb

0.05***

0.63***

Convergence ratec

3.44              INDs        1.87

1.14        2.28       4.90

2.48

IND

1.06

R2 adjusted

0.23

0.07

0.21

AIC

-55.87

-50.11

-6.89

LIK

29.93

27.05

5.44

JBd

3.60

1.50

3.09

BP

5.06

3.68

0.00

Chow-Waldf

1.93

3.55

5.85***

I

Q 23***

0.14**

Q 4g***

LM-error

4.62**

1.75

21.82***

Robust LM-error

0.98

0.28

10.31***

LM-Iag

ɛ IQ***

1.50

13.70***

Robust LM-Iag

4.45**

0.02

2.20

LM-SARMA__________

9 Q7***

1.78_______________________________

24.01***

,' Significance at the 1, 5 and 10% level is signaled by ***, ** and *, respectively.

b Spatial Autoregressive parameter of the spatial error model.

c In percentage points per year. The convergence rate equals 100 × (ln(⅛+l))/-T, where b is the estimated coefficient for the GDP per capita level in 1963, and T
the length of the 1963—1997 time period.

dJarque Bera test for normality of the errors.

e Breusch-Pagan test with random coefficients as the alternative hypothesis.

f Chow-Wald test for stability of coefficients across regimes.

ɛ IND means the convergence rate could not be calculated because the estimated coefficient of the initial GDP per capita (in absolute value) is greater than one.



More intriguing information

1. THE AUTONOMOUS SYSTEMS LABORATORY
2. PROTECTING CONTRACT GROWERS OF BROILER CHICKEN INDUSTRY
3. ISO 9000 -- A MARKETING TOOL FOR U.S. AGRIBUSINESS
4. Evaluation of the Development Potential of Russian Cities
5. The name is absent
6. Pursuit of Competitive Advantages for Entrepreneurship: Development of Enterprise as a Learning Organization. International and Russian Experience
7. The Dictator and the Parties A Study on Policy Co-operation in Mineral Economies
8. Review of “From Political Economy to Economics: Method, the Social and Historical Evolution of Economic Theory”
9. A Duality Approach to Testing the Economic Behaviour of Dairy-Marketing Co-operatives: The Case of Ireland
10. The name is absent