The Determinants of Individual Trade Policy Preferences: International Survey Evidence



Table 10. Simulating the impact on preferences of changing RHS variables

A. Equation (4), Table 4

Simulated Probability Mean Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]

—

Pr(protect==l) I

.0l4755

.00l4l67

.0l2l608

.0l77452

Pr(protect==2) I

.0954396

.005584l

.0846833

.l06l769

Pr(protect==3) I

.l95409

.0062344

.l829937

.2076478

Pr(protect==4) I

.38328l6

.0036822

.376044

.390276

Pr(protect==5) I

.3llll48

.0l288l8

.286l02

.33629l2

First Difference: Change Patriotism from 40th to 60th percentile

Change in Probability Mean Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]

dPr(protect==l) I

t.0023l52

.0002286

t.0027948

t.00l922

dPr(protect==2) I

t.0090372

.0006l7l

t.0l02836

t.0079466

dPr(protect==3) I

t.0093477

.00057l7

t.0l05066

t.0082473

dPr(protect==4) I

.0004353

.0007389

t.00l0632

.00l884

dPr(protect==5) I

.0202647

.00l2482

.0l78992

.022765l

First Difference: Change Patriotism from 20th to 80th percentile

Change in Probability Mean Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]

dPr(protect==l) I

-.0ll7l89

.00ll6l6

t.0l4l546 t.0097234

dPr(protect==2) I

t.045l26

.0030677

t.05l3l7 t.0397028

dPr(protect==3) I

t.046383l

.002800l

t.0520588 t.0409887

dPr(protect==4) I

.002l564

.0036593

t.00527l4

.0093273

dPr(protect==5) I

.l0l07l6

.006l935

.089328l

.ll34693

First Difference: Change Chauvinism from 40th to 60th percentile

Change in Probability Mean Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]

dPr(protect==l) I

t.006l805

.0005l89

t.0072785 t.005l952

dPr(protect==2) I

t.0248769

.00ll37

t.0270738 t.0226583

dPr(protect==3) I

t.0266989

.0009393

t.028572l t.0249653

dPr(protect==4) I

t.0004574

.0020837

t.0047l43

.0036249

dPr(protect==5) I

.0582l36

.0020582

.054l598

.06228l7

First Difference: Change Chauvinism from 20th to 80th percentile

Change in Probability Mean Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]

dPr(protect==l) I

t.0247046

.0020259

t.0289362 t.0207627

dPr(protect==2) I

t.0900888

.0039576

t.09773l t.0822445

dPr(protect==3) I

t.0894l3l

.003l579

t.0956985 t.083667

dPr(protect==4) I

.0065264

.0070095

t.0078236 .0l99749

dPr(protect==5) I

.l97680l

.0069093

.l840308 .2ll5l07

40



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