The Determinants of Individual Trade Policy Preferences: International Survey Evidence



Table 10. Simulating the impact on preferences of changing RHS variables

B. Equation (5), Table 4

Simulated Probability Mean Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]

Pr(protect==l)

.0l74649

.002789 .0l27l67 .023326l

Pr(protect==2)

.l26487l

.0ll4484 .l065978 .l500246

Pr(protect==3)

.2ll0957

.009337 .l925624 .2294772

Pr(protect==4)

.3859744

.0055l72 .375l257 .3963836

Pr(protect==5)

.2589779

.0l98ll2 .2l98795 .2959962

First Difference: Impact of being rural

Change in Probability Mean

Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]

dPr(protect==l)

-.0049403

.00l0727 -.007l378 -.0030334

dPr(protect==2)

-.0228495

.004l677 -.0308445 -.0l47l79

dPr(protect==3)

-.0l99502

.0036924 -.0268ll4 -.0l28275

dPr(protect==4)

.00330l6

.0028547 -.0020696 .009l907

dPr(protect==5)

.0444383

.0082096 .0288076 .0594362

First Difference: Impact of being unemployed

Change in Probability Mean

Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]

dPr(protect==l)

-.0023965

.0022055 -.006594l .0020396

dPr(protect==2)

-.0l09467

.0099035 -.0300374 .008259

dPr(protect==3)

-.0094249

.008589l -.02706l7 .00640l

dPr(protect==4)

.00l7947

.002442l   -.00296    .0070637

dPr(protect==5)

.0209735

.0l9l444 -.0l42l54 .0600l5

First Difference: Impact of working in public sector

Change in Probability Mean

Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]

dPr(protect==l)

-.00l5352

.0009784 -.0034262 .0003988

dPr(protect==2)

-.0067ll5

.0042l86 -.0l46584 .00l6643

dPr(protect==3)

-.0054888

.0034838 -.0l2l543 .00l3485

dPr(protect==4)

.00l53l6

.00l2789 -.0004l3l .0044l34

dPr(protect==5)

.0l22039

.0077459 -.0029597 .0272057

First Difference: Impact of being self-employed

Change in Probability Mean

Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]

dPr(protect==l)

.003982

.00l5977 .00ll853 .007282l

dPr(protect==2)

.0l59954

.0059724 .00503l7 .0280853

dPr(protect==3)

.0ll8232

.0043245   .0040024 .0206445

dPr(protect==4)

-.0053709

.002822l -.0ll6064 -.00l0744

dPr(protect==5)

-.0264298

.0096l74 -.04626l5 -.0088937

First Difference: Impact of belonging to a trade union

Change in Probability Mean

Std. Dev. [95% Conf. Interval]

dPr(protect==l)

-.00032ll

.00020l3 -.00074l7 .0000625

dPr(protect==2)

-.00l3806

.00085 -.003074    .0002784

dPr(protect==3)

-.00ll037

.0006855 -.0024854 .000232

dPr(protect==4)

.00035l7

.0002788 -.0000952 .00l0l08

dPr(protect==5)

.0024536

.00l5l79 -.0005l32 .0055294

Source : see text.

43



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