The name is absent



236

Table 8.4: Commercial farms survey: numbers of questionnaires mailed and returned
and estimated number of farms, by crop year, CSO, Zambia

Crop year

Number of
commercial
farms.4'

Questionnaires
returned

Response rate

____________(%)

Estimated
number of
farms b

1975/76

1,603

526

33

1,527

1976/77

2,595

578

22

2,242

1977/78

2,025

523

26

2,010

1978/79

1,771

599

34

1,566

1979/80

1,920

657

34

1,894

1980/81

2,143

536

25

1,835

1981/82

2,187

583

27

1,780

1982/83

1,072

276

26

1,103

1983/84

1,231

290

24

1,314

1984/85

1,283

307

24

1,102

1985/86

912

279

31

1,972

1986/87

180

99

55

2,026

1987/88

not specified

-

2,115

1988/89

not available

2,185

1989/90

not available

-

1,444

a. Number of farmers to whom questionnaires were mailed.

b. The CSO published estimate of the number of commercial farms.
Source: Zambia CSO (commercial farms) series.

During the same period, response rates to mailed enquiries ranged from 22 to 34 percent.
Without a sampling of the nonrespondents, the representativeness of the voluntary respondents is
unknown. CSO officials recognized this problem as early as 1970 when they reported on a
nonresponse survey in the "1970 Agricultural and Pastoral Production Report." The exercise found
that the smaller farms on the commercial farms list had not received a questionnaire in the mail and
that the list was out-of-date because of the many changes in ownership.'

Over the last three years for which surveys were published, the number of questionnaires
mailed decreased significantly—down to 912 in 1986 and then to 180 in 1987. No numbers were
specified for 1988. Consequently, data collected during the last five years of the time series are likely
to be even less accurate than those collected during the first 10 years of the commercial farm survey.

While the exact procedures used by the CSO to arrive at the published estimates of commercial
agricultural production are not explained in the publications, the most common method,
expanding

9

The reporting of this nonresponse study is the only comment found which indicated an attempt to access the quality
of the commercial farm data.



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