The name is absent



Table 7

Encompassing tests, Germany

West Germany, 1985:1 - 1998:4

h______

_____________x = GDP_____________

x = unemployment rate

sMed

saif

sMom

sWMed

st

sM

sa,r

s Mom

sWMed

st 20

1 DM

1.38*

1.45*

1.06

1.51*

1.34*

1.30*

1.29*

1.08

1.34*

1.27

MDM

1.36*

1.42*

1.04

1.48*

1.32*

1.28

1.27

1.06

1.32*

1.25

2 DM

1.78**

1.92**

1.17

2.08**

2.00**

1.34*

1.51*

1.08

1.59*

1.53*

MDM

1.68*

1.81**

1.10

1.96**

1.89**

1.27

1.43*

1.02

1.50*

1.44*

3 DM

2.86***

3.29***

2.43***

3.60***

3.12***

2.23**

2.72***

2.68***

3.17***

2.68***

MDM

2.58***

2.97***

2.20**

3.25***

2.82***

2.02**

2.46**

2.42**

2.86***

2.42**

4 DM

2.03**

2.20**

1.18

2.43***

2.10**

1.47*

1.67**

1.44*

1.76**

1.65**

MDM

1.75**

1.89**

1.01

2.09**

1.81**

1.26

1.44*

1.24

1.51*

1.42*

Germany, 1993:1 - 1998:4

x =

GDP______________

x = unemployment rate

h

Med

Diff

Mom

WMed

tt20

Med

Diff

Mom

WMed

tt20

s

s ff

s

s

s

s

s f

s

s

s

1

DM

2.77***

1.90**

-0.20

0.95

2.01**

1.18

0.00

-0.73

-0.01

1.18

MDM

2.73***

1.87**

-0.20

0.94

1.98**

1.16

0.00

-0.72

-0.01

1.16

2

DM

2.73***

2.35***

0.16

1.26

2.41***

2.15**

1.37*

0.00

-0.85

1.63*

MDM

2.61***

2.25**

0.15

1.21

2.31**

2.06**

1.31*

0.00

-0.81

1.56*

3

DM

2.07**

1.77**

0.18

1.03

2.01**

1.47*

0.52

0.66

0.09

1.29

MDM

1.92**

1.64**

0.17

0.95

1.86**

1.36*

0.48

0.61

0.08

1.19

4

DM

2.05**

1.43*

-0.08

0.86

2.22**

1.32*

1.05

-0.13

0.07

1.37*

MDM

1.83**

1.28

-0.07

0.77

1.98**

1.18

0.94

-0.12

0.06

1.22

Notes: The lag length is set to minimize the Schwarz-information criteria. (M)DM indicates the (modified)
Diebold-Mariano test statistic. *** (**) (*) denotes significance at the 0.99 (0.95) (0.90) level.



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