Figure f' Impulse Responses for Sectoral Output and Bank Lending
Reaction of M Reaction of IN Reaction of A
to a shock in B to a shock in B to a shock in B
Reaction of T
to a shock in B
Reaction of TR
to a shock in B
Reaction of S
to a shock in B
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Note: The solid lines trace the impulse responses of the sectoral output of mining (M), industry (IN), agriculture (A), trade (T), trans-
portation (TR) and services (S) to a shock in bank lending (B) for the years 1870 to 1912.
4 A sectoral analysis
Table 5: Variance Decomposition for Sectoral Output and Bank Lending
|
Period |
M due to B |
IN due to B |
A due to B |
T due to B |
TR due to B |
S due to B |
|
~~5 |
6.773 |
9.691 |
16.049 |
4.556 |
24.643 |
16.559 |
|
[8.496] |
[8.481] |
[13.064] |
[6.939] |
[12.972] |
[14.152] | |
|
10 |
5.730 |
9.343 |
17.969 |
4.916 |
25.386 |
25.095 |
|
[9.577] |
[9.213] |
[14.958] |
[8.264] |
[15.532] |
[20.331] |
Note: The variance decomposition (in percent) is shown for the sectoral output of mining (M),
industry (IN), agriculture (A), trade (T), transportation (TR) and services (S). The figures show the
share of the forecast error variance that is due to a shock in bank lending.