Financial Development and Sectoral Output Growth in 19th Century Germany



Figure 5: Impulse Responses for Sectoral Output and Total Assets

Reaction of M         Reaction of IN         Reaction of A         Reaction of T         Reaction of TR         Reaction of S

to a shock in TA to a shock in TA to a shock in TA to a shock in TA to a shock in TA to a shock in TA


Note: The solid lines trace the impulse responses of the sectoral output of mining (M), industry (IN), agriculture (A), trade (T), trans-
portation (TR) and services (S) to a shock in total assets (TA) for the years 1870 to 1912.

4 A sectoral analysis


Table 6: Variance Decomposition for Sectoral Output and Total Assets

Period

M due to TA

IN due to TA

A due to TA

T due to TA

TR due to TA

S due to TA

^^5

15.477

16.891

29.144

10.645

23.686

39.361

[13.614]

[13.154]

[12.461]

[8.503]

[14.269]

[13.268]

10

20.735

23.690

47.979

14.297

17.487

48.659

[18.654]

[19.408]

[14.049]

[11.824]

[15.230]

[14.824]

Note: The variance decomposition (in percent) is shown for the sectoral output of mining (M), industry
(IN), agriculture (A), trade (T), transportation (TR) and services (S). The figures show the share of the
forecast error variance that is due to a shock in total assets.



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