Figure 4.5 Results for the Total Revenues
54
53
52
51
50
49
48
47
46
45
44
Budget balances: actual and "core"


^^^core balance: nu----actual balance -------core balance ±1.96*std -------

reaction to cycle: gamma — — — - EC automatic stabilizer alpha reaction to cycle ±196*std ---------
Budget balances: "core" and cyclically adjusted | ||
in % of potential GDP | ||
44 =O V1 |
=0* =⅛b =,⅛ #?■ =⅛b =,⅛ =,ob =,o> =rf- =,ob =Ob =ob =⅛ ⅛ I -core balance: nu----EC cyclically adj.balance (based on potential GDP) ∣ |

^^^~core discretionary policy: eta core discretionary policy ±1.96*std
Figure 4.6 Decomposition of the Total Revenues
Core component (nu)
UC model
Л Γ
Ü49: / ≠
vk
-S
54
44

1,5
Irregular component (epsilon)
UC model
5 -0,5
-S
-1
1
0,5
0
-1,5

1,5
t -0,5
-S
-1
Cyclical component due to automatic stabilizer (alpha)
EC services
1
0,5
0
-1,5


111
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