New Evidence on the Puzzles. Results from Agnostic Identification on Monetary Policy and Exchange Rates.



US-Ger


12

10

8


EE


US/GE ρ0,k

00        1        2        3       4       5

years


US-UK

US-Japan

8

6

4

8

6

c 4


BIG


4

2


0

-2

-4

4

2

O


O


US/JP ρ0,k

20        1        2       3       4        5

years

US/JP ρ0,k


Eich.-Evans


-4

-60        1        2       3       4        5

years


US/UK ρtlk


3

2

1

O

-1

-2

-3


0        1        2       3       4        5

years


Figure 9: Impulse responses for the forward discount premium ρk , conditional
on a US monetary policy contraction.

EE


BIG


Eich.-Evans


US-Ger

US/GE SR




US-UK


US/UK SR

V
0   12   3   4

years


US-Japan




Figure 10: Impulse responses for the Sharpe ratio of a Bayesian investor,
conditional on a US monetary policy contraction.

43



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