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4.1 Physical and Psychological Health: socio-economic indicators

At initial time (t = 0), when the commodities are represented by socio-economic indicators,
the functioning Physical and Psychological Health has the values³⁷ reported in the following
table.

Table 6 - Physical and Psychological Health

Values	Lombardy Emilia R.		Campania
PPH	0.854	1.018	0.563
PPH vs. average	-14.55%	1.77%	-43.71%

Legenda:

PPH = absolute value of the functioning

PPH% vs. average = percentage variance of the functioning from national average

We hereafter report the results of the two explicative sets of simulations with steady positive
and negative growth rates for all the commodities.

Simulation A

Steady positive growth rate of 2.4% per year (0.6% per quarter) for all the commodities.

Table 7 - Lombardy

Time	PPH	PPH% vs. average % increase
0	0.854	-14.55	n.a.
1	0.856	-14.38	0.20
2	0.858	-14.21	0.40
3	0.860	-14.04	0.61
4 (year 1)	0.861	-13.86	0.81
5	0.863	-13.68	1.03
6	0.865	-13.49	1.24
7	0.867	-13.30	1.46
8 (year 2)	0.869	-13.11	1.69
9	0.871	-12.92	1.91
10	0.873	-12.72	2.14
11	0.875	-12.52	2.38
12 (year 3)	0.877	-12.32	2.62

Legenda:

PPH% vs. average = percentage variance of the functioning from national average
% increase = percentage increase of the functioning over the time horizon

³⁷ All the simulations are run with Ithink®6.0 software.

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