AGRICULTURAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION UNDER NAFTA: REPORTING ON THE REPORT CARD



Fairchild and Aubin

357


Table 8: Benefit to Dairy Sub-sector of Own Country from NAFTA-
Percent Response for Each Report Card by Country and
Total.

Country
Report Card
Response

Canada

^st 2nd

%

United States Mexico

Tofa/

^st 2nd

%_________

^st 2nd

%_____

γst 2nd
%

Large Gain

— —

5 —

— —

2 —

Small Gain

12 27

40 44

— 33

24 35

No Change

82 73

45 56

50 33

61 62

Small Loss

— —

— —

25 33

2 3

Large Loss

— —

— —

25 —

2 —

Don't Know

6 —

10 —______

— —

7 —________

Source: Compiled from response data.

Benefits to the Poultry Sub-sector

On the question of whether workshop participants’ poultry sub-sector
has benefitted from NAFTA, there were significant changes between report
cards within each country (Table 9). For Canada, 71 percent of responses indi-
cated no change due to NAFTA, 24 percent thought there was a small gain, and
6 percent a small loss as reported in the first report card. A wide range of opin-
ions was exhibited as to the impact of NAFTA on the U.S. poultry sub-sector in
the first report card. While 15 and 30 percent thought there had been a large
gain and small gain, respectively, there were also 30 percent who felt there had
been no change due to NAFTA and another 25 percent who did not know.

The diversity of opinion on the first report card may be due to less
knowledge of the poultry sub-sector among workshop participants from the
United States. This explanation is somewhat supported by the consolidation of
opinion on the second report card in the small-gain (50 percent) to no-change
(44 percent) categories, with only 6 percent indicating they did not know (Table
9).

Mexican opinions also changed between the report cards. Originally,
three-fourths believed there had been a small gain from NAFTA and one-fourth
a large loss. After the workshop, only one-third believed there had been a small
gain, while two-thirds now thought there had been a small loss in the poultry
sub-sector associated with NAFTA. Overall, there was a decline in those who
did not have an opinion and increase in opinions favoring a small gain to poul-



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