AGRICULTURAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION UNDER NAFTA: REPORTING ON THE REPORT CARD



Fairchild and Aubin

355


Table 6: Benefits to Grain and Oilseeds Sub-sector of Own Country

from NAFTA--Percent Response for Each Report Card by
Country and Total._____________________________________

Country

Canada

United States

Mexico

Total

Report Card

^st 2nd

fst 2nd

^st 2nd

^st 2nd

Response

%

%_____

%

%________

Large Gain

47 33

15 6

— —

27 18

Small Gain

53 67

55 50

— —

49 53

No Change

— —

5 13

25 —

5 6

Small Loss

— —

15 25

50 67

12 18

Large Loss

— —

— —

25 33

2 3

Don’t Know

— —

10 6_________

— —

5 3_____________

Source: Compiled from response data.

percent, respectively, for American responses (Table 6). None of the Mexican
respondents believed there were any gains to their grains and oilseeds sub-
sector from NAFTA, and 75 percent believed there was some degree of loss.
These responses suggest that Canadians believe they have a competitive ad-
vantage in grains and oilseeds within NAFTA. Americans seem to hold similar
opinions, although not as strongly. Clearly, Mexicans feel that their country
has sustained losses in this sub-sector.

Responses remained relatively unchanged from the first to the second
report card, with the exception of decreases in the large-gain category for both
Canadian and American participants, fueled by an increase in small gain for
Canadians and increase in no change and small loss for Americans. The sec-
ond report card found Mexicans even more pessimistic on grains and oilseeds,
with increases in the small-loss and large-loss categories (Table 6).

Benefits to the Red Meat Sub-sector

Concerning the red-meat sub-sector, in both report cards, clearly Ca-
nadians believe they have an advantage, as two-thirds believe Canada has got-
ten a large gain and one-third a small gain from NAFTA (Table 7). American
responses to the first report card also indicated some optimism as one-half
indicated their red-meat sub-sector had received a small gain from NAFTA,
with 15 percent indicating a large gain. However, 5 percent OfAmericans thought
there had been no change, 20 percent thought there was some type of loss, and



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