AGRICULTURAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION UNDER NAFTA: REPORTING ON THE REPORT CARD



356


NAFTA - Report Card on Agriculture

Table 7: Benefit to Red Meat Sub-sector of Own Country from

NAFTA--Percent Response for Each Report Card by Country
and Total.____________________________________________________

Country

Canada

United States

Mexico

Total

Report Card

^st 2nd

>^st 2nd

2nd

1st

2nd

Response

%

______

<

%_________

Large Gain

65 67

15 13

— —

^^34

35

Small Gain

35 33

50 69

— —

39

47

No Change

— —

5 6

— —

2

3

Small Loss

— —

15 13

75 100

15

15

Large Loss

— —

5 —

25 —

5

Don’t Know

— —

10 —______

— —

5

Source: Compiled from response data.

10 percent indicated they did not know. Mexican responses indicate strongly
that they do not believe they have an advantage in red meat as three-fourths
indicated a small-loss and the one-fourth a large loss from NAFTA. Overall,
nearly 75 percent of respondents indicated a gain for their red-meat sub-sector.
As can be seen in Table 7, with the exceptions of an increase in U.S. responses
in the small-gain category and decreases in small-loss and large-loss categories
for Mexicans, opinions remained consistent between the two report cards.

Benefits to the Dairy Sub-sector

There were interesting variations across countries in response to the
question about the dairy sub-sector (Table 8). In both the first and second
report cards, Canadian and American responses were concentrated in the small-
gain and no-change categories. In the first report card, 12 percent of Canadians
indicated a small gain and 82 percent said there was no change associated with
NAFTA, compared to 27 and 73 percent, respectively, in the second report card.
American responses tended to consolidate somewhat in the second report card
as outlying don’t-know and large-gain responses moved to small-gain and no-
change responses. More significant changes occurred for Mexican responses
between report cards as respondents moved from a view of large losses toward
one of small gains. Overall, there was an increase in responses indicating a
small gain to one’s own dairy sub-sector due to NAFTA.



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