Table 6-1: Probit model of Mobility into Poverty for People who Retire
Variable |
Model 1 - Marginal effect |
Model 2 - Bottom 33% Marginal |
Model 3 - Marginal |
Model 4 - 66% Marginal |
Gender | ||||
Male |
0,014 |
0,007 |
-0,001 |
-0,019 |
Activity status | ||||
employee |
0,065 |
0,042 |
0,064 |
0,059 |
part time |
0,325 | |||
self-employed |
0,108 * |
0,179 * |
0,150 * |
0,114 * |
unpaid activity |
0,160 ** |
0,294 * |
0,241 * |
0,214 * |
unemployed |
0,109 ** |
0,054 |
0,105 ** |
0,055 |
Industry | ||||
manufacturing |
-0,079 ** |
-0,091 |
-0,095 * |
-0,062 * |
services |
-0,081 * |
-0,056 |
-0,079 * |
-0,035 |
early retired |
-0,024 |
-0,054 |
-0,029 |
-0,026 |
owner-occupier |
-0,057 |
-0,075 |
0,000 |
-0,046 |
free occupier |
-0,042 |
-0,033 |
0,082 |
-0,023 |
Region | ||||
centro |
-0,017 |
-0,076 |
0,005 |
0,012 |
lisbon |
-0,093 * |
-0,070 |
-0,073 ** |
-0,016 |
alentejo |
0,141 * |
0,099 |
0,197 * |
0,065 ** |
algarve |
-0,027 |
-0,097 ** |
-0,014 |
-0,017 |
acores |
-0,025 |
-0,095 |
-0,014 |
-0,018 |
Type of family | ||||
retired alone with children |
0,006 |
0,063 |
0,048 |
0,066 |
retired couple with no children |
-0,013 |
0,039 |
0,015 |
0,011 |
retired couple with children |
-0,132 * |
-0,072 |
-0,107 ** |
-0,068 ** |
others |
-0,019 |
0,044 |
0,050 |
-0,014 |
civil servant |
___________-0,075 * |
-0,121 * |
-0,091 * |
-0,093 * |
N° Obs |
664 |
531 |
660 |
664 |
LR chi2 |
76 * |
76 * |
95,23 * |
73,19 * |
Pseudo R2 |
___________0,131 |
0,141 |
0,161 |
0,158 |
* - significant at 5% level; ** - |
significant at 10% level | |||
Note: The reference individual is a female, not a civil servant, not early retired, living in |
north region, | |||
working in agriculture, that lives alone, and who is a tenant in her home. |
32
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