72
Table 19a Summary of Aboriginal Employment Projections, Canada
|
Employment |
Share of Employment |
Share of |
Absolute |
Per cent |
Contribution to overall | ||
|
2001 |
2017 | ||||||
|
Scenario 1 |
355,604 |
503,908 |
2^38 |
2τ3 |
148,305 |
417 |
4^17 |
|
Scenario 3 |
355,604 |
627,181 |
2.38 |
3.39 |
271,577 |
76.4 |
__________7.64_________ |
Source: Appendix Table 22
In Canada, if Aboriginals were to achieve employment rate parity with the 2001 level of
the non-Aboriginal population, by 2017, 627,181 Aboriginals would be employed and
Aboriginals would contribute 7.64 per cent to the change in the total number of employed in
Canada between 2001 and 2017 (Table 19a, Table 19b and Appendix Table 24). Considering
Aboriginal Canadians are projected to make up only 4.0 per cent of the population by 2017, their
potential contribution is impressive. Even under Scenario 1, Aboriginals have a potential 4.17
per cent contribution to make to change in the total number of employed from 2001 to 2017. The
difference between Scenario 1 and Scenario 3 is more than 120,000 employed individuals, which
roughly translates into a 0.6 percentage point increase in the national employment rate in 2017.
Of course, since only part of the employment rate gap between Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal
Canadians is accounted for by differences in education, the difference between the two scenarios
captures more than differences in educational attainment. Yet, it does underline the significant
unrealized potential of Aboriginal Canadians and their potential impact on the Canadian
economy.
At the provincial level, the difference could be most felt in Saskatchewan, the Territories
and Manitoba because this is where the Aboriginal population makes up the greatest proportion
of the total population (Table 19 and Appendix Table 24). In Saskatchewan, achieving parity
between the Aboriginal and the non-Aboriginal employment rate would mean an additional
53,953 employed individuals by 2017.
Table 19b: Summary of Aboriginal Employment Projections, by Scenario and by Province, 2001-2017
|
Percentage Change, 2001- _________2017_________ |
Contribution to the Employment Growth, , per ____________cent___________ |
Percentage of |
Percentage of employment | ||||
|
Scenario 1 |
Scenario 3 |
Scenario 1 |
Scenario 3 |
- |
Scenario 1 |
Scenario 3 | |
|
Atlantic |
42.0 |
72.4 |
7.9 |
13.6 |
18 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
|
Quebec |
10.3 |
30.9 |
0.6 |
1.9 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
|
Ontario |
32.1 |
55.3 |
1.5 |
2.5 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
|
Manitoba |
47.6 |
101.7 |
24.7 |
52.7 |
8.7 |
11.0 |
15.1 |
|
Saskatchewan |
60.5 |
152.7 |
105.6 |
266.4 |
7.2 |
11.1 |
17.5 |
|
Alberta |
54.9 |
98.7 |
6.8 |
12.2 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
5.7 |
|
British Columbi |
27.4 |
57.0 |
3.0 |
6.3 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.9 |
|
Territories______ |
49.7 |
110.1 |
91.0 |
201.6 |
37.0 |
46.1 |
64.7 |
|
Canada_______ |
41.7 |
76.4 |
4.17 |
7.64 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
3.4 |
Source: Appendix Table 24
If the employment rates remain the same, the province of Saskatchewan is only projected
to have an increase of 20,250 employed individuals due to out-migration. In this case, the