The name is absent

This methodology is applied for each of ten different scenarios which differ based on
assumptions related to the shares of the population in each educational category (educational
profile), the average employment income of Aboriginal Canadians in each educational category,
and the employment rates of the Aboriginal population in each educational category. These
assumptions are summarized in Table 22 and explained in Box 1. Employment income for
Aboriginal Canadians in 2001 was estimated to be $7,716 million, corresponding to a GDP of
$15,432 million (assuming employment income represents roughly half of GDP³⁰). The
aboriginal working age population in 2001 was 715,500 individuals, and this number is expected
to grow to 1,013,900 by 2017, due to the higher fertility level of Aboriginal Canadians.

Table 22: Summary of Different Assumption Sets for Aboriginal Income and Productivity Projections
in 2017

Assumptions

Scenario	Share of Aboriginal Population in Each Educational Category	Aboriginal Average Income Increase Given Education	Aboriginal Employment Rate Given Education
Base Scenario 1		Increase with average wage	Level of Aboriginal
Base Scenario 1	2001 Share of the	growth	Employment Rate in 2001
Base Scenario 2	Aboriginal Population	Level of Non-Aboriginal	Level of Non-Aboriginal
Base Scenario 2		Income in 2017	Employment Rates in 2001
3		Increase with average wage	Level of Aboriginal
3		growth	Employment Rate in 2001
4	Half of the Gap Between the Aboriginal and Non-	Increase with average wage growth	Level of Non-Aboriginal Employment Rates in 2001
5	Aboriginal Education in 2001 is Eliminated	Level of Non-Aboriginal Income in 2017	Level of Aboriginal Employment Rate in 2001
6		Level of Non-Aboriginal	Level of Non-Aboriginal
6		Income in 2017	Employment Rates in 2001
7		Increase with average wage	Level of Aboriginal
7		growth	Employment Rate in 2001
8	Complete Gap Between the Aboriginal and Non-	Increase with average wage	Level of Non-Aboriginal
8	Complete Gap Between the Aboriginal and Non-	growth	Employment Rates in 2001
9	Aboriginal Education in 2001 is Eliminated	Level of Non-Aboriginal Income in 2017	Level of Aboriginal Employment Rate in 2001
10		Level of Non-Aboriginal	Level of Non-Aboriginal
10		Income in 2017	Employment Rates in 2001

³⁰ In 2006, nominal labour compensation in Canada was $737 million and total nominal GDP was $1,446 million,
with the former representing 51 per cent of the latter. The ratio was 50.5 per cent in 2005, 50.7 per cent in 2004 and
51.2 per cent in 2003.

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