99
Table 7.5: Gubernatorial Models
|
Model 1 |
Model 2 | |
|
% of Provincial Bills |
Œ46 -1.05 | |
|
N of Provincial Bills |
0 | |
|
Previous Governor |
-1.55* |
-1.59* |
|
(0.85) |
(0.85) | |
|
Distance to Median |
0.02 |
0.00 |
|
(1.35) |
(1.35) | |
|
Distance to Majority Median |
0.49 |
0.46 |
|
(0.98) |
(0.98) | |
|
Committee Chair |
-0.38 |
-0.40 |
|
(0.55) |
(0.55) | |
|
PJ member |
0.75 |
0.70 |
|
(0.58) |
(0.57) | |
|
Provincial Party Member |
0.28 |
0.23 |
|
(0.86) |
(0.86) | |
|
District Magnitude |
-0.02 |
-0.024 |
|
(0.03) |
(0.02) | |
|
Outgoing Governor's party |
1.87*** |
1.90*** |
|
(0.55) |
(0.54) | |
|
Constant |
-2.68*** |
-2.47*** |
|
(0.82) |
(0.68) | |
|
Observations |
178 |
178 |
|
R2 |
0.20 |
0.24 |
Table 7.6: Predicted Probabilities of Winning a Gubernatorial Race - By
Party
Party ,∙.Probability
|
Outgoing Governor's Party |
0.34 (0.18) |
|
Other Party |
0.08 |