30
Modellerweiterung zur Analyse râumlicher Effekte
Tabelle 3:
Modellerweiterungen zur Messung von raumlichen Spillover-Effekten
und râumlicher Autokorrelation
Modell |
V / |
VI / |
VII / |
VIII / |
Arbeitsproduktivitat in 1994 |
-0.024*** |
-0.024*** |
-0.028*** |
-0.029*** |
Beschaftigungswachstum (plus Abschrei- (Ln EWT) |
-0.006*** |
-0.006*** |
-0.007*** |
-0.007*** |
Investitionsintensitat (Ln S)____________________________________ |
0.006*** |
0.005*** |
0.005*** |
0.005*** |
% Anteil Verarbeitendes Gewerbe |
0.004*** |
0.005*** |
0.007*** |
0.007*** |
Humankapital |
0.012 |
0.015 |
0.029*** |
0.030*** |
FuE-Industrien |
0.004** |
0.004*** |
0.002* |
0.002* |
Marktpotenzial |
0.002* |
0.002* |
0.003*** |
0.003*** |
Bevolkerungsdichte |
-0.007 (0.005) |
-0.006 (0.005) |
-0.005 (0.005) |
-0.005 (0.005) |
Quadrierte Bevolkerungsdichte |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
Forderdummy (D_GRW) |
0.071*** |
0.081*** |
0.085*** |
0.081*** |
Ln Y(1994) x D_GRW |
-0.019*** |
-0.021*** |
-0.022*** |
-0.021*** |
W * D_GRW |
-0.323** |
-0.276*** | ||
W * (Ln Y(1994) x D_GRW) |
0.085** |
0.072** | ||
W * Ln BVD |
-0.020*** |
-0.022*** | ||
P |
0.073 |
0.240 (0.461) | ||
λ |
0.561*** |
-0.634 (0.862) | ||
Log Likelihood |
863.55 |
866.32 |
873.88 |
874.06 |
Wald Test of ρ /λ = 0 |
χ2(i)=o.56 |
χ2(1)=11.69*** |
χ2(1)=0.27 |
χ2(1)=0.54 |
Moran’s I |
2.490*** |
6.452*** |
0.706 |
-0.147 |
Anmerkungen: *, **, *** = signifikant auf dem 10%, 5% und 1% Niveau.
Standardfehler in Klammern.
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